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	<title>Comments on: Industry policy just might work â shock!</title>
	<atom:link href="http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/</link>
	<description>Fearlessly dispensing political, legal and economic analysis (and some whimsy) since 2002</description>
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		<title>By: Patrick</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114847</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2007 06:35:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114847</guid>
		<description>I think the progressivity of our tax system is partly, albeit not per se, responsible for that.

In England foreigners are not taxed on their overseas income - we should try that. Also the CGT exemption is good, and was overdue, but we are still fairly high-taxing in company tax.

But we have significantly improved our international tax - the necessary trade-off should be, since the improvements have effectively broadened the base in areas like fx, to reduce the load.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the progressivity of our tax system is partly, albeit not per se, responsible for that.</p>
<p>In England foreigners are not taxed on their overseas income &#8211; we should try that. Also the CGT exemption is good, and was overdue, but we are still fairly high-taxing in company tax.</p>
<p>But we have significantly improved our international tax &#8211; the necessary trade-off should be, since the improvements have effectively broadened the base in areas like fx, to reduce the load.</p>
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		<title>By: Nicholas Gruen</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114841</link>
		<dc:creator>Nicholas Gruen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2007 05:51:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114841</guid>
		<description>James,

Like you I&#039;m skeptical, and one of the (many) grounds is - as you point out - it&#039;s middle class welfare.  On the other hand I wonder what you make of the NBER study? And, I&#039;m quite happy with the idea that there are rents in the labour market for finance. My intuittion (and the empirical work) suggests a reasonable kind of case for this.  It goes along these lines. 

There are rents in finance because of assymetric information, economies of scale and various other things. Being close to money is a good place to be if you want some. Some of the rents earned by finance companies get shared with the workforce. (Ask people in Macquarie Bank). So it might be worth it to compete for some of it - but it will certainly benefit the (upper) middle class.  My response to this is to say that that&#039;s yet another reason why I don&#039;t want to reduce the progressivity of our tax system.

In fact I think it&#039;s not that important to hand subsidies over to finance - but it is important to ensure that we regulate with sensitivity to the ability of our finance  industry to export. The financial entrepots all do this. By contrast we have a finance sector that looks very competitive in terms of cost and capability but it exports less than 3% of its output!  I think that&#039;s because we have run tax and financial regulation systems in a way that&#039;s pretty oblivious to export issues.  We&#039;re just starting to turn that around. 

Declaration of interest - &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.lateraleconomics.com.au&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Lateral Economics&lt;/a&gt; is currently consulting on these issues.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>James,</p>
<p>Like you I&#8217;m skeptical, and one of the (many) grounds is &#8211; as you point out &#8211; it&#8217;s middle class welfare.  On the other hand I wonder what you make of the NBER study? And, I&#8217;m quite happy with the idea that there are rents in the labour market for finance. My intuittion (and the empirical work) suggests a reasonable kind of case for this.  It goes along these lines. </p>
<p>There are rents in finance because of assymetric information, economies of scale and various other things. Being close to money is a good place to be if you want some. Some of the rents earned by finance companies get shared with the workforce. (Ask people in Macquarie Bank). So it might be worth it to compete for some of it &#8211; but it will certainly benefit the (upper) middle class.  My response to this is to say that that&#8217;s yet another reason why I don&#8217;t want to reduce the progressivity of our tax system.</p>
<p>In fact I think it&#8217;s not that important to hand subsidies over to finance &#8211; but it is important to ensure that we regulate with sensitivity to the ability of our finance  industry to export. The financial entrepots all do this. By contrast we have a finance sector that looks very competitive in terms of cost and capability but it exports less than 3% of its output!  I think that&#8217;s because we have run tax and financial regulation systems in a way that&#8217;s pretty oblivious to export issues.  We&#8217;re just starting to turn that around. </p>
<p>Declaration of interest &#8211; <a href="http://www.lateraleconomics.com.au">Lateral Economics</a> is currently consulting on these issues.</p>
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		<title>By: Patrick</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114831</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2007 04:22:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114831</guid>
		<description>... at the CIS.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8230; at the CIS.</p>
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		<title>By: James Farrell</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114820</link>
		<dc:creator>James Farrell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2007 01:24:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114820</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;...lots of lefty-bonuses like funding for operas and ballets.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Where do I sign?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&#8230;lots of lefty-bonuses like funding for operas and ballets.</p></blockquote>
<p>Where do I sign?</p>
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		<title>By: Patrick</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114817</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2007 01:07:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114817</guid>
		<description>Sorry - the relevance of which is that anyone can have capital markets industries if you attract them with favourable conditions, and they create genuine broader social advantages from higher incomes sustaining greater local industry such as restauration, retail, etc, which are great &#039;first-rung&#039; jobs (although sometimes only-rung, which is sometimes a worry), and gardening etc (which is quite lucrative).

Then their kids go to school which pushes more money into schools, and improves their facilities etc and gives them money to offer scholarships, ditto for Unis, etc.

Finance and capital markets even creates lots of lefty-bonuses like funding for operas and ballets :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry &#8211; the relevance of which is that anyone can have capital markets industries if you attract them with favourable conditions, and they create genuine broader social advantages from higher incomes sustaining greater local industry such as restauration, retail, etc, which are great &#8216;first-rung&#8217; jobs (although sometimes only-rung, which is sometimes a worry), and gardening etc (which is quite lucrative).</p>
<p>Then their kids go to school which pushes more money into schools, and improves their facilities etc and gives them money to offer scholarships, ditto for Unis, etc.</p>
<p>Finance and capital markets even creates lots of lefty-bonuses like funding for operas and ballets :)</p>
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		<title>By: Patrick</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114815</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2007 00:34:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114815</guid>
		<description>Um, what about plain adding value? Ie capital markets advisors might be highly paid because they add a lot of value (positive sum, ie to all parties) to their clients?

The only &#039;rent&#039; is that of knowing people and a fairly accessible skills set, which hardly seems monopolistic.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Um, what about plain adding value? Ie capital markets advisors might be highly paid because they add a lot of value (positive sum, ie to all parties) to their clients?</p>
<p>The only &#8216;rent&#8217; is that of knowing people and a fairly accessible skills set, which hardly seems monopolistic.</p>
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		<title>By: James Farrell</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114781</link>
		<dc:creator>James Farrell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Apr 2007 13:40:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114781</guid>
		<description>The notion that &#039;high-value&#039; industries should be a policy priority is never easy to sustain.

If a good has high value-added per worker in a given country, this must be because either (1) its production uses an exclusive technology or resource that earns monopoly rents, or (2)the labour is itself expensive. In the case of a resource or an established technology, the country will have a cost advantage anyway. In the case of a technology that is not yet realised, an advantage might be achieved by means of astute investment in R&amp;D. If the benefits can be captured by an individual firm, the profit motive will do its job and there shouldn&#039;t be any need for subsisdies. On the other hand, if somehow the technology can be kept within the country but not limited to a particular firm, then in principle R&amp;D subsidies could contribute to the creation of a high value added industry, until such time as the technology is copied elsewhere and the price falls to match the cost of production.  

That leaves the case where labour is itself expensive. To the extent that this is due to a high skill component requiring years of education or training, such an industry has no obvious advantage over others. In some cases, however, the work involves native talent as well as skill, so the workers in question earn monopoly rents. A policy to promote such industries creates more for such people to enjoy their power, but has no broader social benefit - it is actually a form of middle class welfare.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The notion that &#8216;high-value&#8217; industries should be a policy priority is never easy to sustain.</p>
<p>If a good has high value-added per worker in a given country, this must be because either (1) its production uses an exclusive technology or resource that earns monopoly rents, or (2)the labour is itself expensive. In the case of a resource or an established technology, the country will have a cost advantage anyway. In the case of a technology that is not yet realised, an advantage might be achieved by means of astute investment in R&amp;D. If the benefits can be captured by an individual firm, the profit motive will do its job and there shouldn&#8217;t be any need for subsisdies. On the other hand, if somehow the technology can be kept within the country but not limited to a particular firm, then in principle R&amp;D subsidies could contribute to the creation of a high value added industry, until such time as the technology is copied elsewhere and the price falls to match the cost of production.  </p>
<p>That leaves the case where labour is itself expensive. To the extent that this is due to a high skill component requiring years of education or training, such an industry has no obvious advantage over others. In some cases, however, the work involves native talent as well as skill, so the workers in question earn monopoly rents. A policy to promote such industries creates more for such people to enjoy their power, but has no broader social benefit &#8211; it is actually a form of middle class welfare.</p>
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		<title>By: Nicholas Gruen</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114762</link>
		<dc:creator>Nicholas Gruen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Apr 2007 11:37:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114762</guid>
		<description>Yes Paul,

There&#039;s certainly some successful tax competition in Ireland and Luxembourg&#039;s success.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes Paul,</p>
<p>There&#8217;s certainly some successful tax competition in Ireland and Luxembourg&#8217;s success.</p>
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		<title>By: Fred Argy</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114739</link>
		<dc:creator>Fred Argy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Apr 2007 05:34:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114739</guid>
		<description>Nicholas, I think there is some validity in the argument that government support of high-value, high-wage industries would, through labour market competition, push up the general wage level and that this in turn would put firms </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nicholas, I think there is some validity in the argument that government support of high-value, high-wage industries would, through labour market competition, push up the general wage level and that this in turn would put firms </p>
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		<title>By: Patrick</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114736</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Apr 2007 05:06:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114736</guid>
		<description>Er, I think Singapore has tried and liked the idea, not to mention Hong Kong! So sure, but there is competition in that market.

But your point is quite valid - as is the more general point that N Gruen&#039;s industry policies that work aren&#039;t &#039;industry policies&#039; as anyone in the world understands the term. Hence our suprisingly similar tongue-in-cheek contributions.

Which he actually makes a fairly good case for.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Er, I think Singapore has tried and liked the idea, not to mention Hong Kong! So sure, but there is competition in that market.</p>
<p>But your point is quite valid &#8211; as is the more general point that N Gruen&#8217;s industry policies that work aren&#8217;t &#8216;industry policies&#8217; as anyone in the world understands the term. Hence our suprisingly similar tongue-in-cheek contributions.</p>
<p>Which he actually makes a fairly good case for.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul Frijters</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114719</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Frijters</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Apr 2007 00:50:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114719</guid>
		<description>its a mistake to hold up Ireland and Luxembourg as examples of great industry policy. Both effectively free-ride off their close neighbours in terms of either bank secrecy or capital taxation. &#039;Beggar thy neighbour&#039; may work for small countries with direct access to big markets. It doesnt work for big countries. 
Australia is a small country though. Maybe in the future Australia can choose to become a tax-haven for the South Asia region? The &#039;Switserland of the South&#039;? We could probably pull it off.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>its a mistake to hold up Ireland and Luxembourg as examples of great industry policy. Both effectively free-ride off their close neighbours in terms of either bank secrecy or capital taxation. &#8216;Beggar thy neighbour&#8217; may work for small countries with direct access to big markets. It doesnt work for big countries.<br />
Australia is a small country though. Maybe in the future Australia can choose to become a tax-haven for the South Asia region? The &#8216;Switserland of the South&#8217;? We could probably pull it off.</p>
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		<title>By: observa</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114685</link>
		<dc:creator>observa</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Apr 2007 16:02:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114685</guid>
		<description>Perhaps Patrick, the major flaw in IP boils down to, if you believe the dopey bastards are no good currently at picking winners, then why would you make a bunch of them bureaucrats with lousy incentives to improve the result?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Perhaps Patrick, the major flaw in IP boils down to, if you believe the dopey bastards are no good currently at picking winners, then why would you make a bunch of them bureaucrats with lousy incentives to improve the result?</p>
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		<title>By: Patrick</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114667</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Apr 2007 11:45:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114667</guid>
		<description>Hey, I think we can all hold hands and dance in a circle now - we do everything Observa says and call it:
&lt;i&gt;Industry Policy for the Finance Industry&lt;/i&gt;!!

yay!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey, I think we can all hold hands and dance in a circle now &#8211; we do everything Observa says and call it:<br />
<i>Industry Policy for the Finance Industry</i>!!</p>
<p>yay!</p>
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		<title>By: vee</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114665</link>
		<dc:creator>vee</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Apr 2007 11:20:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114665</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://velausanakha.smvnetwork.com/wordpress/2005/08/19/regional-development-enterprise-zones/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Hello&lt;/a&gt;, Australian &lt;a href=&quot;http://velausanakha.smvnetwork.com/wordpress/2005/10/19/enterprise-zones-pt-1/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Enterprise&lt;/a&gt;  &lt;a href=&quot;http://velausanakha.smvnetwork.com/wordpress/2005/10/21/enterprise-zones-pt-2/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Zones&lt;/a&gt;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://velausanakha.smvnetwork.com/wordpress/2005/08/19/regional-development-enterprise-zones/">Hello</a>, Australian <a href="http://velausanakha.smvnetwork.com/wordpress/2005/10/19/enterprise-zones-pt-1/">Enterprise</a>  <a href="http://velausanakha.smvnetwork.com/wordpress/2005/10/21/enterprise-zones-pt-2/">Zones</a>.</p>
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		<title>By: observa</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114662</link>
		<dc:creator>observa</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Apr 2007 11:05:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114662</guid>
		<description>Or is it the problem of diminishing returns. Picking winners in advanced developed economies simply has such poor prospects, it&#039;s not worth it and there is probably better returns from lessening red tape, general infrastructure investment, reducing taxation disincentives and the like. The dramatic returns in IP in LDC&#039;s may well be due not so much to picking winners, but the fact that this obseved process is a symptom of pro-business, facilitative govt overall, in contrast to the past. When the miracle occurs like Japan, inevitably the old recipe no longer works, due to diminishing returns.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Or is it the problem of diminishing returns. Picking winners in advanced developed economies simply has such poor prospects, it&#8217;s not worth it and there is probably better returns from lessening red tape, general infrastructure investment, reducing taxation disincentives and the like. The dramatic returns in IP in LDC&#8217;s may well be due not so much to picking winners, but the fact that this obseved process is a symptom of pro-business, facilitative govt overall, in contrast to the past. When the miracle occurs like Japan, inevitably the old recipe no longer works, due to diminishing returns.</p>
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		<title>By: derrida derider</title>
		<link>http://clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114657</link>
		<dc:creator>derrida derider</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Apr 2007 09:39:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.clubtroppo.com.au/2007/04/15/industry-policy-just-might-work-%e2%80%93-shock/#comment-114657</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s not that industry policy can&#039;t work, or hasn&#039;t worked in other times and places (though of course it has had plenty of spectacular failures too).  It&#039;s the specifics of what &quot;industry policy&quot; is taken to mean in Oz.  In Oz it means transferring resources to industries in which we have no hope of generating an eventual comparative advantage.  Pouring money into, eg, the car industry is just pissing it up against the wall.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s not that industry policy can&#8217;t work, or hasn&#8217;t worked in other times and places (though of course it has had plenty of spectacular failures too).  It&#8217;s the specifics of what &#8220;industry policy&#8221; is taken to mean in Oz.  In Oz it means transferring resources to industries in which we have no hope of generating an eventual comparative advantage.  Pouring money into, eg, the car industry is just pissing it up against the wall.</p>
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