How to save tigers: a discussion starter

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The Journal of Economic Perspectives calls this a ‘discussion starter’.

Barun Mitra discusses Saving the Tiger: China and India Move in Radically Different Directions. Since the 1970s, India has enacted tough laws and mobilized huge resources to stop hunting and trading in tiger parts. But the policy of prohibition has not secured the future of tigers. Meanwhile, in China, special tiger breeding bases have been set up under public and private management. More than 4,000 tigers are in captivity in China today, and an effort is underway to build a genetic profile of every tiger in captivity so that the number of pure subspecies can be documented and increased. This will enable breeders to meet the international demand for pure-bred tiger cubs and young adults of particular subspecies. PERC Reports, September 2006, pp. 36.

Microsoft: Why oh why?

e-mail-example.pngContinuing the occasional series of ‘why oh why’ here is a Microsoft edition.

Way back in 1997 Microsoft put out Outlook 97 which was a pretty natty program. It wasn’t an act of genius but it was a good program that integrated a calendar and an email client in a useful package. I find this integration an advantage over Microsoft’s free e-mail client Outlook Express.

One of the nice features in Outlook 97 was that you could set it to record all the email addresses of all the people you responded to in its contacts file. Not everyone’s cup of tea but I liked the feature.

I couldn’t activate this feature on my new Outlook 2007 and having despaired of Microsoft Help several times I decided to spend the ten or more minutes trying to find out how to do it. It’s not so surprising that one occasionally runs into this kind of problem. As programs get more complex things like this occasionally become hard to find – but you can usually find them with a bit of patience.

Help proved worthy of my despair, turning up nothing of assistance in the aloted period of time but a minute or so with Google enabled me to find this software. It’s main selling point?

Do you miss the “Automatically put people I reply to” feature? Are you tired of having to manually add email addresses into your Outlook contacts? Now you can automatically add email addresses to any contacts folder.

I doubt very much Microsoft owns Sperry Software which will sell this software to you for $24.95.

So oh Troppodillians, prithee, why oh why did Microsoft remove this feature from its software?

Ars Wordpressae

Having begun an epic move from Darwin to Perth some weeks ago, I am at last established here, for the next 6 months at least. At the moment I am crawling along on dialup while Telstra — for the fifth consecutive time — play funny buggers with provisioning an ADSL connection at my local exchange.

What I would like to talk about briefly is what I will be doing with Club Troppo in the coming few weeks. Ken and I have been less than impressed with our move to a Virtual Private Server. It has, in actual fact, probably been slower than the already ordinary performance we got from Dreamhost, though somewhat more reliable. It turns out that while our hosting provider boasted good prices, excellent uptimes, generous memory, disk and bandwidth allowances, they very savagely cap CPU usage. Club Troppo is running on the equivalent of 250MHz of processing power. There isn’t enough grunt to complete MySQL queries before another one comes along, which produces an exciting pile-up of queries and page generation jobs strangling the available CPU time.

As some of you know, before leaving Darwin I spent about a week doing nothing but optimise the site. We’re running on lighter software, with aggressive tuning on MySQL, with fewer plugins, with 3 different layers of caching. Even so, the site chokes up with regularity: if you’re unlucky to ask something from outside the caches, you’ll essentially throttle the entire website. So, as I said, less than impressive.

Some reflection on the data I gathered while investigating optimisation options suggests that our delays are entirely server-bound. Bandwidth is not our problem. Ours is plenty fast and plenty generous. The home page, which is usually our heaviest page, still comes in under 100kb fully loaded in most cases.

This suggested to me a new approach to which Ken has agreed in-principle: to move Troppo again. This time we will trade off bandwidth for performance. I have ordered business-grade ADSL service with static IP and improved service level guarantees, and I will host Club Troppo on a server in my possession. This will give us about twice as much RAM and approximately 10-15x more CPU performance, which should more than meet our demands. Having a physical dedicated server also allows me to perform some more esoteric optimisations which are not available for a VPS, such as moving MySQL’s temporary table directory into a RAMdisk, or recompiling the entire software stack with the ICC compiler, or a number of other options.

There is some urgency in this move. My nightmare is the oncoming Federal Election. Club Troppo’s traffic surged dramatically in the 2003 election. I expect that 2007 will be no different, and I would like the site to be settled into a new server with surplus capacity well before John Howard drives up to the Governor-General’s digs for a friendly chat about election writs.

It also happens that Club Troppo is growing again. Traffic has been growing steadily month on month every month, even through the ongoing technical travails we’ve experienced. It has been (yet another) humbling experience for yours truly. I took up the role as site administrator confident that I could lick it without breaking a sweat. Instead I have learned far more about the Wordpress-to-Linux stack than I care to mention, and under quite stressful and trying conditions. I have been several times tempted to modify the “Managed by Jacques Chester” footer to read “Mismanaged by Jacques Chester”.

In any case, I thank Ken and Nick for putting up with my advice, which has typically been wrong; and for putting up with my services, which have been less than perfect. I’d also like to thank all of you, the readership and authorship of Club Troppo. This is a great site and it just keeps getting better in spite of me. So stick around — you ain’t seen nothin’ yet!

Paris 2007: A moment of truth

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On Saturday night the Wallabies face their biggest test since the 2003 World Cup final. The Wallabies caught the eye of the rugby world two weeks ago, when they played heroically against the Springboks in Cape Town. Yet the consensus is that Australia’s World Cup odds will not shorten appreciably unless we can repeat the effort in Saturday’s match against the mighty All Blacks, the hot favourites to leave Paris as the world champions. I like our team changes, mainly because there have hardly been any. Dropping Drew Mitchell for Adam Ashley-Cooper (wing) and Scott Staniforth (bench) was prudent. Ashley-Cooper and Matt Dunning will be thoroughly tested, along with Julian Huxley, all of whom will be playing in the biggest game of their lives. The All Blacks must be firm favourites, but I’m sure our guys are hungry to go on with it from Cape Town. And I like the facts that the game is not in New Zealand and we’ve had a two-week break, whereas the Blacks are coming to Melbourne on their way home from South Africa. Hope springs. Bring it on. Go, you good things!

Update: The Wallabies threw down the gauntlet tonight with a determined 20/15 victory. Hanging on after a first half where they looked totally outclassed, and only George Smith was keeping Australia in there, the team came home like it was Cape Town all over again. There is much to be digested, but the great news is that the Wallabies will get better. Briefly, we still need a hooker (hello Jeremy Paul) and a fullback (goodbye Julian Huxley), Stephen Hoiles must be in the starting team, and Adam Ashley-Cooper is now officially blooded as a full-blown Wallaby winger. We still don’t have a goal kicker (why, I always friggin’ wonder?). The All Blacks got worse with every interchange, exposing their reputed ‘depth’ as pure mythology. Finally, we’d be mad to start Bernie against the cheap Boks team – give the man a holiday. There will be more to discuss as the dust settles, but the big news is, watch out Paris, the Wallabies are back, and they’re coming your way!

The community project

What Northern Territory communities need is a sense of community. We call them communities but I wonder about that. If they were then the disconnect caused by boredom wouldnt be there. Boredom is the big killer and boredom happens when we are not constructively engaged. The destructive engagement with alcohol, drugs, petrol and associated abuses is an indication that a culture of constructive opportunity to act is missing in these places. Dont underestimate the energy and focus that is required to get hands on substances for abuse which leads me to think it has little to do with laziness. Strongly focussed projects work. The energy spent on the project of getting some petrol could become the project of fixing up a vehicle, or creating a childcare centre or writing a song in a band. A community is about constructive connections and needs and expectations and duties between people in the community. Having some expert people wandering around the countryside saying this and starting that and then disappearing never to be heard of again wont create stability or security or allay boredom in the long term. If I was living in one of these places I would be expecting Pat Anderson or Rex Wild to kick things off and introduce me to the new government teams Id be curious about these teams and pretty interested as well and would feel the beginning of a connection if I was introduced to them by someone who knew them and me as you do – I wouldnt feel connected to them at all if I wasnt introduced properly.

One thing that galvanises people together is work. Lots of times when people work together a great positive bond is formed. When strangers work their way out of a natural or unnatural disaster bonds develop between them. Project work that has strong beginning and end point can develop a sense of community and quite wonderfully that sense of community connects people after that project has finished. Project work has to do with the pragmatic stuff that constructively binds you as a group to a cause that has a beginning and an end point outside your own individual self.

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Can you handle the truth II: does everybody lie and does it matter?

In recent weeks on clubtroppo and elsewhere, there’s been a lot of attention given to untruthful journalism, media bias, and lying politicians. The situation appears the same internationally, with Blair and Bush being criticised for lying about Iraq and media bias being more generally in the public’s focus. The outcry of pundits is always the same: why dont we get honest politicians and truthful journos. This blog tries to bring a social science perspective to this issue since social science has known for a long time that lies play a central role in a smooth interaction between many people. This blog is first about repeating some standard observations of social science on being truthful and then to see whether there is any hope for getting truthful media and politicians in the future.

Firstly, the general public gets exposed quite regularly to the opinion that they all lie. One of the leitmotifs of the television character Dr. House (played by Hugh Laurie) in the same-named series about a brilliant cranky medic curing odd patients is that ‘everybody lies’. In the series, people lie about their drug habits, their sexual habits, their status, their life history and other such matters. They lie either to make themselves look better than they are or in order to spare the feelings of someone they love. In many an episode, we get either Dr House or his arch-enemy saying that everybody lies.

Funnily enough, economists implicitly also believe (nearly) everybody lies, but unlike Dr House economists don’t say it out loud all the time. Let me give some examples. Economists are as a profession absolutely convinced material incentives matter and that, for instance, welfare claimants and early retirees are in many cases on welfare and on early retirement out of monetary motives. Perhaps not the majority, but certainly a sizeable minority. Yet welfare claimants and early retirees themselves don’t tell you this. I have looked myself (with bob G) at the responses of a 1000 Australians who entered the Disability Support Pension in 2004. Not one of them said they went onto DSP because it paid better than the alternatives, or that there was nothing really wrong with them but they had had enough of the world of unemployment or work. Not one. One invariably got the usual suspects: stress, back pain, heart conditions, being advised by others to go onto DSP, etc. The same is true for talking to people face to face: I’m yet to meet a welfare claimant either here or in the Netherlands that tells you their motivations for being on welfare are monetary. Does this mean the core belief of economists is wrong or does it mean that a sizeable fraction of respondents are being ‘economical with the truth’, perhaps even to themselves? The same goes for a wide range of instances where personal incentives clash with social norms. I’m willing to offer a bounty of 50 dollars for the first person to find me a lone mother who says they divorced their previous husband in order to enjoy the generous welfare system; or the first doctor to admit they prescribe a particular drug because they get sweeteners from the manufacturers; or the first white person who self-describes to be an Aboriginal in order to get a welfare payout; or a real estate agent who admits they’ll put more effort into selling their own house than yours.
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Missing Link – 27 June 2007

Well, after my R v Hurley-imposed-hiatus, I’m back (thank Christ). Once again bringing the best of the blogosphere to you via the redoubtable Missing Link crew (if I ever make enough money, I’ll be commissioning Hilltop Hoods to write us a theme song). I could have done without being featured in dispatches myself, as though the trial itself didn’t have enough colour and movement for members of the media class.

jpriverboat.gifTwo further candidates for post of the year kick off this edition. First, Robert Merkel’s eloquent piece of scienceblogging on Enrico Fermi. Please don’t be put off by the thought that it’s written by a mathematician about a physicist. Everything about this piece is lovely, including the writing. Next up is James Farrell’s thought-provoking take on Media Watch’s hatchet job on everybody’s favourite finance journo, Alan Kohler. Beautifully researched, the piece links into recent bloggy stoushes about the role of Media Watch and its apparent inability to ‘get’ the blogosphere (of which more below).

The image for today’s edition is John Pasquarelli’s Riverboat on Murray, courtesy the artist (and he’s clearly photographed it while still on the easel – hence the wonky orientation).

This issue compiled by Amanda Rose, James Farrell, Jason Soon and Ken Parish, with Helen ‘skepticlawyer’ Dale in the editor’s chair.

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Media Watch bags Alan Kohler

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I’ll be interested to see what fallout there is from last night’s Media Watch story on Alan Kohler. The topic for the week was the outsourcing of expert financial news and commentary on TV. In the case of commercial networks, it seems they have actually been paying getting paid by organisations like CommSec for their trading floor segments. Obviously the ABC isn’t being sponsored by any private company directly, but Media Watch argued that Kohler has a conflict of interest because his on-line ‘investment newsletter’ the Eureka Report has clients whom he may find himself reporting on in his ABC stories. The Eureka connection is not even disclosed on the news bulletin, an omission that Alan Sunderland, the Head of National Programs for ABC News, justifies thus:

The ABC has a specific arrangement in place NOT to verbally or visually promote or endorse the Eureka Report on its programs or websites.

But a disclosure is called for because

Carnegie, Wylie and Company – which partly bankrolls his Eureka Report is a player in some major deals, involving the likes of BHP, Coles and Patrick.

The company was also closely involved in the recent private equity takeover attempt of QANTAS.

Now during that period, Alan Kohler commented that the QANTAS share price might dive if the private equity takeover failed.

Media Watch is not perfect. Continue reading