I bet John Howard is hoping political scientist John Wanna is correct in his surmise that the undecided voters aren’t listening yet. Because if they were paying attention to the incoherent gibberish Howard and Downer are spouting about pre-emptive anti-terrorist strikes on neighbouring countries, they’d be drawing some conclusions that the Coalition wouldn’t like at all. Lucky Bambang Yudhoyono’s attention is elsewhere right now.
And maybe some of the punters are drawing those conclusions judging by the latest Newspoll and Morgan poll. I can’t understand how they both managed to arrive at the same point from opposite directions, one showing Labor’s support up by 1.5% and the other down by a similar margin. But maybe it doesn’t matter. The fact is that they both converge on a lead of around 5 points for Labor, enough to suggest it’s not just an artefact of error margins. Not a bad place to be at this stage of the campaign. I feel a bit less pessimistic now than I did a couple of days ago.
PS – It really is beginning to look like the Coalition has lost the plot, as Independent MP Tony Windsor’s allegations indicate. This is exactly the sort of “corruption” that led to Nick Greiner’s downfall as NSW Premier some years ago. Whether it actually should be classed as corruption is another question, but they certainly should have known better if they really did do it (and there’s no obvious reason why Windsor would lie). The facts as alleged certainly seem to bring the conduct within the scope of section 326 of the Commonwealth Electoral Act (bribery).