Positive Interstate Migration (or the lack of)

The graph is from the ABS’ population statistics from June 2006. Queensland and Tasmania are the only ones that people are migrating too on a positive basis and Tasmania barely so. The migration to Queensland is mainly Novacumbrians where 289,000 moved to Queensland between 2001 and 2006 which to put in perspective is more than the population of the Northern Territory.

All the states showed population growth in 2006 with Western Australia, Queensland and the Northern Territory having the greatest increases – which we would expect because of their booming economies – but of the increase in Western Australia half were births and the other half was international migration.

One of the policy descriptors for the isolated Indigenous Communities is for them to pack up and head to the cities where there are jobs and economic opportunities. From this data urban Australians don’t seem to do that. Given the two step economy we would expect some sort of net interstate migration west and north. But it isn’t there.

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derrida derider
derrida derider
14 years ago

The extraordinary thing in this graph is the Qld figure. Its not surprising that the net flow figure is positive (the combination of retirement and mining), but it is surprising that the gross flows are so large – more people are leaving Qld than are leaving Vic.

Mark
Mark
14 years ago

Gross Qld/NSW figures reflect just how many young Qlders are drawn to the bright lights and greater job opportunities in Sydney. They then gradually drift back as life moves on and the harsh realities of mortgages/kids etc kick in. It’s been going on for years.

meika
14 years ago

Tas has always had a higher birthrate, most who grow up and leave don’t come back though. Most recent immigration is sea changers, they don’t like the pulp mill ruining their vineyards and truffieres, which the illiterate stay-at-home do not give a flying about, not if they have their daddies truck to drive. It’s a class thing, Malfroy and his dimwitted cap doffing thugs versus Harry, and Ron and Hermione.

mija
mija
14 years ago

meika

I visited your web site and can only conclude that given your appearance you must have be born and bred in Tassie.

mija
mija
14 years ago

meika

I visited your web site and can only conclude that given your appearance you must have be born and bred in Tassie.

azza-bazoo
14 years ago

The WA figures aren’t that surprising. WA is having only limited success at pulling in people from interstate who work in mining-related fields, since it’s generally not hard for those people to find work at home.

And due to Perth’s flaws we are also losing people in other fields (IT, biotechnology, etc.) to Melbourne and Sydney. I only have anecdotal evidence, but I’d expect those factors to roughly cancel each other out.

swio
swio
14 years ago

I wonder if the international migration to Perth is due to its proxity to Asia. Its closer and the timezone differenc is smaller or non-existent compared to east coast cities.

NSW net outward migration may continue for a long time. Sydney house and unit prices are simply unaffordable for alot of first home buyers. Even rents in Sydney are getting unaffordable.