I’ve written about this before. As the material I linked to in my previous post seemed to show, while there are a bunch of good reasons – both experimental and observational for assuming that mobile phone use will be associated with higher accident rates, it’s still hard to find the links in the data. In particular when one goes looking for the efficacy of bans of mobile phone use in cars, you can’t find much. Still the research justifying a ban continues to roll off the presses. This report which claims that mobile phone use quadrouples one’s chances of an accident seems to be based on some quite persuasive research involving checking the actual mobile phone use times of individual drivers against the times of their accidents. Still the paper doesn’t quote the econometric work I mentioned in the previous post which is a bit of a surprise.
Even if the orthodox research expertise is correct, I’ve not had a car accident in 30 odd years of driving, so I’m happy to have my chances of an accident quadrupled for a few moments every now and again.