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Predictions versus outcomes in 2013?

Paul Frijters
December 27, 2013
In the last 5 years, I have made a point of giving clear predictions on complex socio-economic issues. I give predictions partially to improve my...

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RSS John Quiggin

  • Suggestions for a small experiment December 8, 2024 John Quiggin
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RSS Crooked Timber

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RSS CoreEcon

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RSS Bill Mitchell

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RSS The Conversion (G8 Unis)

  • Labor guarantees 3 days of childcare and 160 new centres. What does this mean for families? December 11, 2024
    The Albanese government has pledged two major changes to early childhood education and care in the run up to next year’s federal election.
    Peter Hurley, Associate Professor and Director, Mitchell Institute, Victoria University
  • Our analysis of wealth trends suggests Australia’s middle class may be ‘shrinking’ December 11, 2024
    Between 2002 and 2018, some groups actually increased their wealth on certain measures. For young people and middle Australians, however, it’s a more sobering picture.
    Melek Cigdem-Bayram, Ronald Henderson Senior Research Fellow, The University of Melbourne
  • Christmas can be tricky for kids with separated parents. Here are 5 tips to help them cope December 11, 2024
    The festive season can evoke feelings of loss or sadness, especially when holiday messaging focuses on being together.
    Elizabeth Westrupp, Associate Professor in Psychology, Deakin University
  • If ‘correlation doesn’t imply causation’, how do scientists figure out why things happen? December 11, 2024
    Chocaholic nations win more Nobel Prizes, but that doesn’t mean much. It’s easy to link two things – the hard part is working out which one causes the other.
    Hassan Vally, Associate Professor, Epidemiology, Deakin University
  • Crisis accommodation is failing women fleeing domestic violence. Here’s how to fix it December 11, 2024
    Current crisis accommodation is isolating, frightening and doesn’t meet the needs of woman and children, but one program is succeeding where others fail.
    Anastasia Powell, Professor of Family and Sexual Violence, RMIT University