The Myth of Deakin's Chariot Wheels

Posted in Politics - national, Economics and public policy

One of the great truisms of Australian politics is that federal/state relations are unavoidably bedevilled by "vertical fiscal imbalance", a phenomenon whereby the Commonwealth controls the great bulk of revenue-raising powers while the States bear the burden of providing many of the most expensive governmental functions and services, especially health and education.

The VFI truism is particularly potent in the current political era, given that the previous Rudd/Gillard government began the process of implementing sweeping needs-based funding reforms in the health and education sectors (the National Health Funding Pool and the Gonski education reforms).  Labor cunningly (or so they thought) left a "poison pill" for the incoming Abbott Coalition government by only funding those reforms for the first 4 years, leaving the "out years" beyond Forward Estimates unfunded (as the Charter of Budget Honesty permits). The Coalition was going to have to raise taxes or cut other spending in order to match Labor's promises over time.

Abbott outsmarted Labor in the run-up to the 2013 election by only promising to match Labor promises on health and education for those first 4 years.  The electorate (and a lazy media) largely failed to understand the sleight of hand and voted the Coalition into government on the erroneous assumption that health and education funding were safe.

But Abbott then outstmarted himself by making clear in his government's first budget that he would not be delivering the NHFP and Gonski funding beyond 2017.  That was the seemingly massive $80 billion funding cut to health and education referred to in media coverage about the 2014 Abbott/Hockey horror budget. The money was only ever notional and had never been funded by the Labor government, although obviously if delivered it would have made a huge positive difference to health and education.

However it would also have brought to full maturity the century-long process of Commonwealth takeover of State powers.  The States would have had sustainable funding for health and education delivered to them by the Commonwealth, but at the price of permanent Commonwealth dictation of the needs-based system for distribution and administration of that spending.  At least for believers in the virtues of federalism (like me), Abbott's abandonment of post-2017 NHFP and Gonski funding was a qualified blessing.  Of course it leaves a huge gap in forward spending on health and education, but I argue below that the States are in fact entirely capable of raising the necessary revenue themselves and should be expected to do so.

The popular (and to a significant extent expert) perception of State revenue-raising disability was first enunciated by Alfred Deakin who in 1902 said:

As the power of the purse in Great Britain established by degrees the authority of the Commons, it will ultimately establish in Australia the authority of the Commonwealth. The rights of self-government of the States have been fondly supposed to be safeguarded by the Constitution. It left them legally free, but financially bound to the chariot wheels of the Central Government. Their need will be its opportunity.

Deakin has subsequently come to be seen as prescient, after the Commonwealth seized control of all income tax raising during the Second World War by using the defence and grants powers in the Australian Constitution. Later, High  Court interpretations of the Commonwealth's exclusive power over customs and excise duties (Constitution section 90) in Parton v Milk Board (1949) and then Ha v New South Wales (1997) held that the Commonwealth had a constitutionally entrenched monopoly over all taxes on the manufacture, distribution and sale of all goods (both primary and secondary products). Deakin's prophesy, it seemed, had been vindicated.  The States were indeed helpless mendicants of the Commonwealth, dependent on tied grants from the federal government which could dictate exactly how they they were required to spend federal grant money. But is it really true that the States are unable to raise enough revenue through their own powers to fund the services and facilities  they are expected to provide? I suggest the answer is emphatically in the negative. Australia's current Vertical Fiscal Imbalance flows almost entirely from a toxic political culture grounded in erroneous, exaggerated assumptions about alleged State constitutional incapacities. Deakin's chains and chariot wheels imagery is a convenient myth, allowing the States to evade their responsibilities and blame the Commonwealth for their own shortcomings.  The States are a bit like perpetual Gen Y adolescents, living at home free of charge with mum and dad until well into their thirties while complaining that the Olds are cramping their style. When we look at income tax, the constitutional reality is that this power is "concurrent" i.e. the States have just as much power as the Commonwealth to levy income taxes.  The Commonwealth could not in peace-time use the defence power to exclude the States.  It can still impose whatever conditions it likes on grants to the States, but the States wouldn't need Commonwealth grants if they chose to raise enough of their own revenue. In 1942 the most potent weapon deployed by the Commonwealth was that it raised federal income taxes to such high levels that it left no room for the States to levy their own income taxes without their own residents starving or going bankrupt.  The Commonwealth got away with that because of the wartime emergency situation.  In our contemporary globalised economy there is no way any federal government could or would raise income tax rates to a level that precluded States from raising their own income taxes if they wished. The real reasons why the States today don't choose to levy their own income taxes are purely pragmatic ones and have nothing to do with lack of power. The States prefer to let the Commonwealth incur the odium of tax collection, and despite current whingeing by WA they also privately accept that the modern Commonwealth Grants Commission system, which distributes revenue to the States on the basis of need, is a fair and efficient one that works very well.  It just wouldn't make sense to have a Commonwealth and eight separate state and territory income tax regimes. However, the fact that the States have the power to levy income tax gives them the ability, if they so choose, to demand a federal compact for equitable sharing of income tax receipts by threatening to levy their own income taxes if the Commonwealth won't come to the party. The picture is quite similar on the goods and services front.  John Howard rode to the States' rescue after Ha's Case in 1997 by implementing the Goods and Services Tax and pledging all its revenue to the States, again delivered by a needs-based formula administered by the Commonwealth Grants Commission.  But the States' constitutional disability under  Constitution section 90 exists only in relation to taxes on goods not services.  There are no constitutional impediments preventing the States from levying whatever taxes they like on the provision of services.  Moreover, in Australia's contemporary post-industrial society, services comprise more than 70% of GDP.  The proposition that the Commonwealth's exclusive power to levy excises somehow thwarts the States' fiscal independence is largely a myth. It is even more of a myth when we consider mineral resources.  It is certainly true that the States cannot levy taxes on the processing of minerals or their subsequent sale and distribution (because they would be excises).  However the States themselves own the minerals in the ground within their own borders.  They can and do impose royalties (i.e. taxes) on mining companies who wish to dig up and sell those minerals.  The problem during the minerals boom was that the States (especially the minerals-rich ones like WA and Queensland) irresponsibly chose not to increase those royalties so that their residents would gain a fair share of the huge windfall profits multinational mining companies were earning  from flogging the States' minerals to the Chinese.  That's why the Rudd/Gillard government eventually stepped in and sensibly if ineptly imposed its own Minerals Resource Rent Tax.  Much of that fiasco, which contributed mightily to Labor's loss of government, flowed from the fact that the States have been allowed to behave like naughty irresponsible teenagers for the last 70 years or so.  The States could raise mineral royalties rates tomorrow, and they certainly should do so as soon as minerals prices recover. In addition to all those massive and largely untapped sources of revenue for the States, they can also levy land taxes, payroll taxes, death duties and so on.  All are potentially lucrative revenue sources and the States are in no sense constrained from imposing them.  All are appropriate taxes that contribute to a well balanced fiscal system.  Why we don't have death duties, for example, is quite beyond my understanding.  Other favourite State revenue sources (e.g. stamp duty that has saved the Baird government's fiscal bacon during the recent Sydney Property Boom) are somewhat less desirable from an economic viewpoint. When examined carefully and globally, the States have adequate capacity to raise enough revenue to fully fund their own needs, or rather citizens' expectations as to what governments should provide.  Given that new PM Malcolm Turnbull and his Treasurer ScoMo are currently wrestling with the shape of a fair and economically responsible fiscal package to take to next year's election, Turnbull should overtly throw down the gauntlet to the States.  He should explain clearly to all Australians that the States and not the Commonwealth bear the constitutional responsibilities for health and education, and that they possess all the powers they need to raise the revenue necessary to discharge those responsibilities.  Turnbull should make clear that the Commonwealth will not be increasing the proportionate funding it already provides towards State functions and powers, and that it is up to the States to find the money they need and take full political responsibility for their decisions.  He should indicate that the Commonwealth will increase the GST rate or breadth of coverage if the States unanimously request this, but that the political responsibility for any such decision will be publicly borne by them.  He might even offer (rather more dangerously) to consider any proposition the States unanimously put forward for some sort of income tax-sharing regime. In other words, Turnbull should disavow the toxic myth of Deakin's Chariot Wheels and re-inscribe the system of fiscal federalism on which Australia's constitutional system is actually based.

17 Comments

  1. derrida derider

    On royalties, they are of course a far less efficient way of taxing minerals than an excise or (even better) a superprofits tax to capture economic rents. Royalties exaggerate boom-bust cycles; a rent tax damps them.

    You could make them economically equivalent to an ad valorem excise by legislatively linking royalty rates to an index of the world price of the commodity - do you reckon the High Court would hold such a tax to be an excise?

  2. Ken Parish

    Hi DD

    The bottom line is that I think that might well be dangerous. See this 2000 article re the WA royalties regime: http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/journals/MurUEJL/2000/31.html

    I'm not especially expert in the area but I think the points made are still relevant.

  3. conrad

    It's all very well to suggest these things, but in the end, I don't want to wait forever for funding as things like the health care and education go down the tube. Do I really want to see a generation of even more poorly educated students because something didn't get funded properly for a decade? I don't think so.

    This is especially the case with GST, which is the most obvious way of increasing revenue (and I assume would add least to the bureaucracy -- having two income tax systems, for example, seems like a nightmare). It seems pretty obvious that getting agreement from _all_ of the states is going to be very hard because some states won't need the money as much as others. For example, Victoria gets a vast amount of revenue from gambling, it's comparatively small, and it also has the highest proportion of school students in private education. NSW is similar, and gets even more from stamp duty. Whilst they lose out a bit on the GST, what happens if they don't need the revenue as much as other states without these advantages? It would clearly not be in their political interest to agree to a GST rise -- so do we just wait until some states go broke before such a raise would occur?

  4. ChrisB

    Tell me again why we have states? Or, seeing as there are obvious historical reasons, why we still have states?

    Alternatively, I'd favour having state boundaries readjusted year by year like electoral boundaries to ensure equal populations. Or equal budgets.

  5. paul walter

    God bless Ken Paririh for that article. It bespeaks all that is wrong in the Australian mentality and outlook.

    Parochial, unconscious, graspong, myopic, self absorbed, vindicitive..

  6. Ken Parish

    Conrad
    A large part of the point of this post was to attempt to cut through the political obfuscation and public confusion about Commonwealth versus State powers and responsibilities. I see that as a significant reason why progress in adequately funding important areas like health and education is so slow.

    The other major reason is that we taxpayers strongly desire provision of quality government services in those and other areas, but we also want lower (or at least not higher) taxes (or we want someone other than ourselves to be required to pay them). Because politicians are risk-averse and see mortal danger in implementing tax increases (except by stealth e.g. bracket creep), they tend to prefer obfuscating the situation. They may do that by the States blaming the Commonwealth for providing insufficient funding, the Commonwealth blaming the States for not pulling their weight, by asserting falsely that public borrowing is always evil and that we have a budget emergency, and so forth.

    They will no doubt keep trying to baffle people with bullshit in any event. But at least if it can be made clear to the public that both the Commonwealth and States DO have sufficient power to raise the revenue needed to fund publicly provided services and facilities, then discussion might be able to reach a more useful.productive level. That is, what levels of government services do we expect in any given area, and how much are we willing to pay in taxes for government to provide those services? Cost-shifting and blame-shifting just obscures those basic questions. Similarly, duplication of functions e.g. having federal departments of health and education that merely dispense money and dictate priorities and processes to the corresponding state departments who actually provide those services, just wastes money, time and resources, given that the States have enough power to raise their own revenue anyway.

    You can certainly exclaim "I don’t want to wait forever for funding ..." but politicians will continue to play these sorts of games as long as most of us:
    (a) want these services from government;
    (b) have no real idea whose responsibility it is to provide them; and
    (c) resent paying the additional tax necessary to fund services, and punish politicians who impose or threaten them.

    If Turnbull is genuine in saying that he is aiming to synthesise a rational reform package involving at least some tax reform, then clarifying the above in the public consciousness is unavoidably a part of that process. If it isn't done then reform will be political suicide and so it won't happen. It may not happen anyway given both sides' willingness to demonise each other by seemingly all available means however dishonest, but at least making available basic information about governmental powers and responsibilities might assist in allowing citizens to distinguish between legitimate debate and cynical, destructive demonising of any proposal by a political opponent.

  7. ChrisB

    Yes, but you seem to think the real problem is (b) when in fact it's actually (c). What evidence is there that if there was no ambiguity (if there were no states, for example) people would be more willing to pay higher taxes?

  8. Ken Parish

    Most recent research indicates that most Australians don't think they are overtaxed. They want higher spending on health and education, but think that high income earners and multinationals should be taxed more to pay for it.

    Moreover, it appears from the recent mini-tax summit chaired by Turnbull (business peak bodies, unions, ACOSS etc) that there is a reasonable level of support for tightening loopholes for high income superannuation, negative gearing, CGT etc, and tax minimisation by international transfer pricing etc. Depending on the extent of tightening, that may be enough to fund redressing bracket creep for the lower income tax brackets, as well as repairing the budget deficit.

    Restoring tax equity in that way might permit some sort of deal with the states on either income-tax sharing or a GST increase to help fund necessary state funding increases for health and education. I don't believe that most Australians are irretrievably selfish about these things; they will cop reform if they are convinced that the changes are fair. Australians copped Howard's GST and Hawke/Keating changes that resulted in lower real wages as a trade-off for occupation super and a range of other benefits. What is needed is an honest, mature dialogue that doesn't patronise people or make things sound more complex than they really are. Gettting the facts straight on Commonwealth and State powers and functions is a necessary part of thaa honest mature dialogue.

  9. Patrick

    It's a terrible place Australia, in fact, probably one of the worst.

    Lucky for us that all the others are just as worst as we are...

  10. paul walter

    Patrick, are you comparing us to Haiti or Mali or other places devoid of our human and material resources? My bet is these people would know how to live off the smell of an oily rag, compared to us.

    You need to go to Globalisation 101 for more on comparative waste.

  11. Patrick

    Um, what? I thought that you were talking about attitudes, not living standards or frugality?

    After all your comment referred to:

    Parochial, unconscious, graspong[sic], myopic, self absorbed, vindicitive[sic].

    I was comparing the parochialism, greedinesss, short-sightedness, self absorbtion and vindictiveness of Australians to the citizens of France, the US, England, Italy and Switzerland based on my experience and, I suspect, every other country (I don't know what their unconsciousness would be reflected in so I am not comparing that).

    I think the only reasons that you think that Australians are worse in these categories are your mood affiliation with the public "image" of certain other countries and your relative ignorance of those countries.

  12. Peter WARWICK

    Paul, I woke up the other day and I was unconscious and graspong ! My doctor says its the terrible, despicable people in Australia. Whats going on ?!?

  13. paul walter

    (Sighs). No, not terrible and despicable, but human, all too human. Now, how about growing up.

  14. Patrick

    Human, all too human, now we agree.

    But nothing exceptional about Australians other than your proximity to them.

  15. R. N. England

    Taxpaying, like everything else, needs to be sold. Who is there to tell us it's a measure of our public spirit?

  16. Nicholas Gruen

    +1

  17. Nicholas Gruen

    There's a presumption that VFI is a bad thing. I've never been convinced. It does create several bad things
    a) buck shifting
    b) arrogance from the (financially) powerful centre

    But at least in the textbook, I've never seen the problem in the body that's the most efficient at raising revenue - the Commonwealth - specialising in that with the body better at delivering services (few could be worse than the Commonwealth, have a look at the mess it makes when it delivers for instance immigration services) the states, doing so.