Category Archives: Methodology

14 published posts in this category.

Australian male violence against female partners: the 2024-25 drop

The latest figures on intimate partner femicide show much of a recent rise in men killing women has now been reversed, at least temporarily. Prologue : Violence against women is a bad thing, and it’s still bad even when, as the article below points out, it used to be far worse...

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Posted in Politics - national, Methodology, Criminal law

The Pamela Paul Effect: Books betray us, yet still we cling to them

Many of us still venerate books. The evidence says they are not very good at what is supposed to be their primary job: putting new ideas in our heads. We are slowing developing new ways to achieve this old aim. Many of us own thousands of these. They cost too much, too many ha...

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Posted in Literature, Media, Methodology, Information

How Economics Found Science …and Lost its Subject Matter

Herewith an article that was published by INET a couple of weeks ago, and Evonomics more recently. I'm republishing it here as it's my 'blog of record' as it were, but also because it enables me to make notes to file as comments. Vice always comes disguised as virtue. No excep...

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Posted in Philosophy, Economics and public policy, Methodology, Cultural Critique

Academia: when there's no 'there' there

I The university is one of the finest creations of European culture. Alas, as a troublesome fellow once said, all that is solid melts into air. I’m a bit shy of attributing things to a single cause. These things tend to built up over many, many decades. But certainly what migh...

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Posted in Philosophy, Education, Methodology

UK policy wonks following Troppo in saying the lock downs were a mistake (but hiding the message a bit)

Here at Clubtroppo, we have been saying for well over a month now that a quick look at the economic damage and the health damage of the responses to the corona virus tells you they dwarf the possible benefits of suppressing the virus, anywhere in the West. This has lead to the...

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Posted in History, Society, Health, Methodology, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Coronavirus crisis

Is it the social scientists job (or anyone else's) to make models of reality? (Hint: no).

There is still, I think, not enough recognition by teachers of the fact that the desire to think – which is fundamentally a moral problem – must be induced before the power is developed. Most people, whether men or women, wish above all else to be comfortable, and thought is a...

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Posted in Philosophy, Economics and public policy, Political theory, Methodology

My presentation in London

https://youtu.be/S_SWo3Cj8Yc Herewith my presentation in London "Economic reform thinking as if we'd bothered to do it" and Martin Wolf's commentary on it beginning at around the 40 minute mark. Judging from audience comments, a good time was had by all. You can download the s...

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Posted in Philosophy, Economics and public policy, Political theory, Methodology, Innovation

The Norms of Science: Extract from Paul Romer

I was looking for something on economic method, and found this section of Paul Romer's "The Trouble with Macroeconomics" which I thought was worth posting. Some of the economists who agree about the state of macro in private conversations will not say so in public. This is con...

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Posted in Economics and public policy, Science, Methodology

The middleware of democracy. Or from knowledge to wisdom: or at least knowledge 2.0

Simon Heffer's High Minds presents us with a portrait of the mid-Victorians in which they consciously set about building the world which became ours. A liberal democratic world. To do so they recognised the need for all sorts of public goods. Those of education and health sure...

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Posted in Philosophy, Political theory, Methodology, Innovation, Cultural Critique, Public and Private Goods

Thoughts on “Thinking, fast and slow”

I couldn’t resist buying a copy of Daniel Kahneman’s best-seller when returning from holidays. Several friends and colleagues told me it was a great book; it got great reviews; and Kahneman’s journal articles are invariably a good read, so I was curious. Its general message is...

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Posted in Life, Philosophy, Education, Literature, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Geeky Musings, Methodology, Information, Social

If our models are correct, then people are smarter than we realised!

Whilst making pies yesterday I happened to recall a sentence I read 7 or so years ago, which suddenly struck me as very silly. So I just looked it up to make sure I hadn't imagined it. I didn't. Here's the whole paragraph. A final point worth noting on gang wars is that their...

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Posted in Economics and public policy, Methodology

Economists as engineers and humbler, better scientists

Here's a paragraph I wrote about fifteen years ago. The culture of economic expertise places inadequate weight on integrating insights from multiple perspectives, that it frequently places an unreasonably high 'burden of proof' on heterodox views, and that it has a penchant fo...

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Posted in Philosophy, Economics and public policy, Methodology

Counteracting our biases

In an earlier post , and one of a series by me and subsequently Ken as well, I suggested that an important part of any professional education should be a kind of counter-narrative in which those who learn a profession are also made familiar with that profession's cognitive bia...

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Posted in Methodology

Why good thoughts block better ones: Cognitive biases and the psychopathology of knowledge

Keynes famously said that the hardest part of coming up with the General Theory was not coming up with the new ideas so much as escaping from the old ones. I've just run into a great article on the implications of happiness research for making policy (and yes there are implica...

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Posted in Economics and public policy, Chess, Methodology