Category Archives: Science

153 published posts in this category.

The marshmallow at the end of the universe

Psychology Professor Michael Inzlicht has a confession to make . He’s been peddling shoddy wares – his words. And he's feeling quite bad about the whole thing. The work wasn’t just intellectually weak. It did real harm. Though his own proposals to popularise his ideas were kno...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, History, Science

The ABC (ombudsman) stopped talking to me

There was an ostensible “news” article on the ABC news site about Trump’s executive order (EO) titled “DEFENDING WOMEN FROM GENDER IDEOLOGY EXTREMISM AND RESTORING BIOLOGICAL TRUTH TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.” The capitalisation is not mine; it is in the executive order FFS! Th...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Gender, Media, Political theory, Social

Michael Polanyi in 1960 on Teilhard de Chardin on evolution

Michael Polanyi was highly suspicious of the hyper-reductionism of neo-Darwinism. It’s reduction of the evolution of a thing so vast as life into a single causal mechanism. And it was a good call. Darwin himself had proposed that natural selection was a major mechanism of evol...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, Science, Ethics

Science and the universe of is: Design and the multiverse of what might be

[video width="640" height="360" mp4="http://clubtroppo.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Science-v-inhabiting-our-own-world.mp4"][/video] From a recent podcast interview with Tyson Yunkaporta This post began as a comment on David Walker's post on David Card's Nobel Prize for h...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Cultural Critique, Social Policy

Congrats to Card, Angrist, and Imbens!

The Nobel Prize for Economics got announced and I was pleased to hear it went to David Card, Josh Angrist, and Guido Imbens. Among the best picks in years, I think. A lot will be written elsewhere about the many things they did, but what I want to honour them for is that I kno...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

The Great Covid Panic: now out!

It's here, the booklet I am sure you have all been waiting for. The one which Gigi Foster and Michael Baker slaved over for 10 months . It is also on Kindle . It is dedicated to all the victims of the Panic, in poor countries and rich countries. They include our children, the...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, Print media, History, Humour, Education, Literature, Society, Religion, Theatre, IT and Internet, Economics and public policy, Terror, Science, Journalism, Media, Libertarian Musings, Health, Political theory, Law, Dance, Review, Bargains, Travel, WOW! - Amazing, Social, Parenting, Ethics, Medical, Public and Private Goods, Death and taxes, Inequality, Social Policy, Democracy, Employment, Sortition and citizens’ juries, Isegoria, Coronavirus crisis

Two summary pieces of HART and SWPR on masks

Since I learned in April 2020 that transmission of covid was mainly via extremely small aerosols, I have regarded face masks as a placebo: they are to aerosols what garden gates are to mosquitoes. Yet, placebos have a role so I wasn't too against them and willing to have my as...

Continue reading

Posted in IT and Internet, Science, Health, Death and taxes, Coronavirus crisis

Do lockdowns work in Europe?

Let us divide the countries in Europe that have at least 1 million inhabitants into three groups: the ones that had high movement restrictions in 2020, the ones with almost no restrictions, and the ones in between. The graph below gives you the punchline that countries with mo...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, regulation, Health, Dance, Social, Medical, Death and taxes, Coronavirus crisis

Pragmatic utilitarianism?

I have been a utilitarian for about 30 years now and am seen in my academic work as an extreme version of the genre. I did my Phd on the topic . I do not merely say that governments should make policy for the benefit of the wellbeing of the population, but have spent years in...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Philosophy, History, Humour, Society, Religion, Economics and public policy, Science, Geeky Musings, Dance, Social, Parenting, Ethics, Cultural Critique, Death and taxes, Personal, Social Policy, Democracy

Book Launch of the Handbook for Wellbeing Policy-Making July 1st

Wellbeing & Policy Making Book Launch Event on 1st July 5-6.30pm London Time. Attending the Launch is Free, the book is not! [blurb from Nancy Hey, director of the WW Centre for Wellbeing]: The What Works Centre for Wellbeing , and our commissioning partners at the ESRC: Econo...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, History, Society, Theatre, Economics and public policy, Science, Health, Political theory, Social, Public and Private Goods, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Democracy

What has the pandemic told us about wellbeing?

Wellbeing science has behaved very honourably during this pandemic in my opinion, particularly in the UK, where many of the best-known wellbeing researchers openly pointed to the disproportionate costs of lockdowns compared to their (dubious) benefits . Many stood up in newspa...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Society, Science, Social, Social Policy, Coronavirus crisis

We are seven

Following a recent online conversation with Timothy Wilcox , I read Wordsworth’s extraordinary poem “We are seven” which I reproduce below. As you’ll see, it chimes with my own preoccupation with communication and mutual benefit across the chasm of difference. My own preoccupa...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, History, Economics and public policy, Science, Cultural Critique, Isegoria

Peace, food prices, (hunger?) deaths and inequality

Now and then one should look up and see if there are any trends that are not usually talked about in the media but that say something big about how humanity is going. I here want to briefly discuss the latest data on four big trends: war, food, (hunger?) deaths, and inequality...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Life, Society, Science, Health, Social, Death and taxes, Inequality

Vale Ed Diener, Mr Happiness

Ed Diener , one of the best-known scholars of happiness died this week at the age of 76. He was known as Dr Happiness in the United States, well-known for his 7-item scale on wellbeing and his constant refrain that the secret to happiness is in warm social relations. I met Ed...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Science, Dance, Death and taxes

Lockdown cost-benefit analysis for Australia by Martin Lally

Martin Lally is a kiwi economist who late in 2020 decided to calculate for himself what his own country was losing by locking itself away from the world, coming to the conclusion that New Zealand was sacrificing something like 26 life-years in the future to 'save' 1 life-year....

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Economics and public policy, Science, Health, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

Australia or Sweden: which has had the better 2020?

Compared to the trends on January 2020, has Australia or Sweden lost more wellbeing in 2020? And which has seen the greater damage to expected future wellbeing years for after 2020? The Table below summarizes the answers to this. For the first calculation, let us only count th...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Life, Science, Health, Ethics, Cultural Critique, Death and taxes, Coronavirus crisis

Uncertainty, Part 1: McGurk

As one the best illustrations of the way our minds deal with uncertainty, consider the following video. Please listen and watch at least 30 seconds so you can experience the three sequences of spoken words. [embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PWGeUztTkRA[/embed] Pretty much...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Philosophy, Theatre, Economics and public policy, Science, Media, Political theory, Social

A World Anti-Hysteria Organisation?

The essential governance problem in March 2020 in Western countries was the overwhelming demand of the vast majority of the population to do something dramatic in response to their fear. There was a clamour to be ‘led to safety’ by populations scared to death by images in the...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Society, IT and Internet, Terror, Science, Health, Metablogging, Information, Innovation, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

What experiments on cult behaviour tell us about lockdown beliefs

With a recent publication in Nature that reported lockdowns have no effect on covid-cases or covid-deaths, there are now over 30 studies that fail to find any covid-reducing benefits of lockdowns. Worse, across countries and time, more severe lockdowns are just leading to more...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Society, Religion, Terror, Science, Health, Medical, Death and taxes, Coronavirus crisis

Two more interesting articles on covid mass hysteria

Guess which crackpot started his article on covid in that notorious right-wing publication 'The Guardian' with the sentence "The virus has been used as a pretext in many countries to crush dissent, criminalise freedoms and silence reporting"? It's that obvious conspiracy-nutte...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, History, Science, Health, Political theory, Inequality, Social Policy, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

Interesting new articles on mass hysteria and medical morality

While the hysteria marches on here in Europe, an interesting economics article came out in a decent journal on the political economy of that mass hysteria. Their abstract: In this article, we aim to develop a political economy of mass hysteria. Using the background of COVID-19...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Science, Health, Death and taxes, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

Covid-congestion effects: why are lockdowns so deadly?

Consider the picture below of two hypothetical Accident and Emergency departments (A&E), one that has no covid-regulations and simply has the available nurses trying to help all comers as fast as possible. In the other one the nurses try to prevent mingling by testing newcomer...

Continue reading

Posted in Education, Society, Science, Health, Death and taxes, Coronavirus crisis

Science, objectivity and the separation of knowing and doing

I. Given its astonishing success, modern minds are mesmerised by science. So much so that various disciplines adopted certain mannerisms of science in order to make themselves more ‘scientific’. This is the intellectual sin Hayek and others called ‘scientism’. Having come to u...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science

Historical analogies for the covid-mania

“men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses more slowly, and one by one.” MacKay, 1841. Right now, London and much of Europe are in peak covid-mania, entering another two months of lockdowns on to...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Politics - international, History, Economics and public policy, Science, Libertarian Musings, Political theory, Cultural Critique, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

7 Questions and hypotheses for 2021

2020 was certainly a roller coaster for a social scientist, full of surprises. Let me not once again bemoan the increasingly coordinated attack on all sources of vitality in Western civilisation, but look ahead and openly wonder about what 2021 will bring in terms of 7 specifi...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Politics - national, Politics - international, Humour, IT and Internet, Economics and public policy, Science, Social, Cultural Critique, Medical, Social Policy, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

Which governments have been most restrictive?

Guess which countries in Europe have had the lowest average restrictions on individual behaviour from March to December according to researchers at the Blavatnik school of government in Oxford ? Guess which countries in the world have had the most or least stringent government...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Science, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

Three lessons on Chinese culture and politics

The animosity between the Chinese and Australian authorities is heating up, so we Westerners need to understand some of Chinese culture and politics. I do not have all the answers, but some 10 years of working and teaching on China have taught me about three traits that I hope...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Life, History, Society, Science, Social

How others are organising the Covistance: ideas for those who want to help.

How are we going to escape the authoritarian nightmare and regain our liberties and zest for life? This long read is written for organisers of new Covistance initiatives, explaining the logic of what others have done and what could further be done. So I am speaking to those of...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, IT and Internet, Science, Journalism, Media, Libertarian Musings, Geeky Musings, Health, Law, Information, Parenting, Death and taxes, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

The legal battles of the Covistance. Have there been crimes against humanity?

Ramesh Thakur is one of many commentators inside the Covistance who think government public health advisers have committed crimes against humanity . His anger was raised by reports of desperate parents in India selling their children into virtual slavery, including sexual expl...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Libertarian Musings, Health, Law, Social, Coronavirus crisis

Is Sweden the promised land for sensible covid-policies? Reluctantly.

Sweden is a rich, spacious country famous for IKEA, ABBA, dark cold winters, and its unique covid-policies. We escaped London for a few days to see for ourselves what the deal was with this Scandinavian country of 10 million. It is as rich and well-run as the statistics say it...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Science, Health, Dance, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Democracy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

The gathering Covistance, its promise and its main enemies

Those who already in March foretold the folly of lockdowns and social distancing did not dream we'd still be in the same place after 7 months. Only slowly has it dawned that the panic would become an enduring business model . For a long time, we believed sanity would soon prev...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, History, Humour, Science, Geeky Musings, Health, Dance, Cultural Critique, Death and taxes, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

The Great Barrington Declaration?

A group of senior medical scientists have gotten together to pen an open petition to governments and society, calling for a herd immunity approach to the coronavirus. Signatories already include over 3000 "Medical & Public Health Scientists", 4000 "Medical Practitioners", and...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, History, Society, Science, Health, Cultural Critique, Medical, Death and taxes, Coronavirus crisis

What do excess death graphs tell us?

Have a look at the graph below which summarises (excess) deaths per week in 24 European regions , roughly the EU, over the last few years. Note how the vertical axis only starts at 40,000 and that hence the fluctuations relative to baseline are smaller than they seem here. The...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Health, Coronavirus crisis

Constant distractions are leading to major declines in top-level reasoning. What to do?

Till 20 year ago, IQ scores in the West increased about 3 points per decade ever since the 1920s, a phenomenon known as the “Flynn effect”. That rise in IQ test scores, which have an average of 100 and a standard deviation of 15, was attributed to improved schooling, improved...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, History, Education, IT and Internet, Science, Gender, Media, Social, Parenting, Public and Private Goods, Inequality, Employment

The descent into Darkness of the UK and Victoria. Quo Vadis?

[Bottom line: the conflicting forces now being created in the UK and Australia are truly frightening.] The UK government has just announced a nationwide return of one of the most destructive elements of lock downs: mandatory social isolation. Gatherings of more than 6 people a...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, History, Society, Science, Journalism, Libertarian Musings, Health, Law, bubble, Social, Cultural Critique, Inequality, Social Policy, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

Professor Foster's cost-benefit analysis for the Victorian parliament.

[below the exact text (with different font/highlight) as Gigi Foster's submission to the Victorian parliamentary library in mid-August here . To see her health-related notes, including on topics like non-linearities and Sweden, see here , and to see all documents of that inqui...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Education, Economics and public policy, Science, Health, Ethics, Medical, Social Policy, Democracy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

Could lock-downs lead to a baby boom in several Western countries? If so, why?

For months now, demographers and other social scientists have been predicting a covid baby bust because marriages were postponed , pubs were closed, anxiety levels were up, measured fertility intentions were down, sexual activity went down (in some reports), and economic uncer...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Philosophy, Society, Science, Geeky Musings, Health, Dance, Social, Parenting, Social Policy, Coronavirus crisis

How can the Covid-policies be countered with the help of Big Money?

Suppose you agree with me that containment and elimination strategies pursued regarding Covid-19 do far more harm than good. Suppose you also believe that having an open economy and a vibrant close-contact social life is vital for the long-run health of the country. You want t...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Life, Education, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Media, Health, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

The ongoing wellbeing loss from covid-policies. Sign the protest letter!

The UK Office of National Statistics data on the wellbeing of the British population shows a unprecedented drop of about 10% in average wellbeing in the UK since March 2020. Anxiety levels almost doubled, slowly returning to normal, but wellbeing remains low as people are prev...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Science, Health, Social, Public and Private Goods, Death and taxes, Coronavirus crisis

What works: getting to the land of ‘how’: Complete essay

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=fEHYX3J8Jm4 Note, this essay was published in three parts in the Mandarin and is published in consolidated form (complete with its footnotes) here. It is impossible to remember, until one gets in the country … that they care about th...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, Economics and public policy, Science, Political theory, Cultural Critique

What works: getting to the land of ‘how’: Part One

Cross posted from The Mandarin Premium . Government leaders understanding what they need to do when faced with impending issues is one thing. But here, in the first of a three-part series, Nicholas Gruen gets into the nitty-gritty of coming to terms with the 'how' of what need...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, Education, Economics and public policy, Science, Cultural Critique

From being to seeming: why empirical scientists failed in times of Covid.

There have long been scientists who were celebrities in their own time. Galileo, Keppler, Goodall, Linneus, Cousteau, Darwin, Smith, Leeuwenhoek, Da Vinci, Ibn Khaldhun, Curie, and many others in the last 800 years were followed and admired. They in many ways performed their s...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Life, Philosophy, Education, Society, Religion, Theatre, Economics and public policy, Science, Geeky Musings, Health, Cultural Critique, Social Policy, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

"Living with Covid" Interesting paper on tradeoffs

Here is a new paper from Imperial College , this time by a team with David Miles, Mike Stedman, and A drian Heald, looking into the implicit cost per QALY that the UK spent via lock downs and other repression policies. They use a somewhat different methodology from mine , esti...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Libertarian Musings, Health, Medical, Social Policy, Coronavirus crisis

What kind of crowd are we now seeing? The 5 surprises in this pandemic.

There are 5 aspects of the covid-19 pandemic I really did not see coming, all pointing to a phenomenon that European sociologists of a century ago spent their whole lives describing, coming up with theories about crowds and their behaviour - theories now largely forgotten. Sch...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, History, Society, Theatre, Economics and public policy, Science, Social, Cultural Critique, Coronavirus crisis

A seminar/workshop on wellbeing cost-benefit analysis applied to covid

Find below the video of a seminar for the Australian Institute for Progress done a few weeks ago detailing the basic cost-benefit view of the current pandemic. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6TS2DE-D1TA The slides of this presentation are here: Presentation CBA Covid May 2020...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, History, Society, Science, Health, Social Policy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

How can the University of Queensland recover from the Drew Pavlou affair?

The management of the University of Queensland, and in particular Peter Hoj and Peter Varghese, stand condemned today by the international media, by both Labor and Liberal politicians, by both left-wing and right-wing Australians, by its own students, and by the powerful pro-...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Humour, Science, Journalism, Review, Social, Cultural Critique, Social Policy, Democracy

On Corona/Covid-19, herd immunity and WELLBY tradeoffs: key predictions and numbers

[in progress: will add more references, links and latest numbers when I get the time] In this note, I want to deal with three related issues: the main lessons on the corona virus from the reported deaths across countries with different policies; the feasibility of different “e...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Education, Society, IT and Internet, Economics and public policy, Science, Libertarian Musings, Health, Social, Cultural Critique, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Democracy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

Unseen victims of the corona panic: IVF babies and their parents

Did you know that Australia has over 13,000 IVF babies born per year, the UK over 20,000 , the West as a whole (Europe+US+offshoots) over 200,000 and the world as a whole 500,000 ? And did you know that due to the corona panic these services have been halted pretty much everyw...

Continue reading

Posted in Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Health, Social, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Coronavirus crisis

How the Corona narrative will flip: two predictions.

My first prediction is an easy one: many countries are going to ease their restrictions on social isolation in the coming weeks, including many countries with an ongoing corona problem. They simply have to if they want to have any economy left. You can see this happening to di...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Politics - national, Politics - international, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Social Policy, Democracy, Coronavirus crisis

How many WELLBYs is the corona panic costing?

How much unhappiness is created by the unemployment of millions of people in Western countries (mainly N-Am +Europe) caused by the corona panic? How much unhappiness has been created due to the vast expansion of loneliness and physical inactivity? And in terms of the tradeoff...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Politics - international, History, Education, Science, Health, Social, Death and taxes, Social Policy, Democracy, Employment, Coronavirus crisis

6 post-Corona Institutional questions

The mass hysteria of the corona crisis is raging, with the resulting self-isolation of whole economies and populations. The loss seems greater with every new forecast on the economic collapse than I initially though t, and the benefit of imprisoning and terrorizing the populat...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Life, History, Society, Religion, Economics and public policy, Terror, Science, regulation, Health, Climate Change, Political theory, Business, Social, Cultural Critique, Public and Private Goods

The Corona Dilemma.

Consider the shown picture where you are the decision maker who can pull the lever of the train tracks to avoid the coming train from going straight. If you do not divert the train, one person, John, will get run over. He is elderly and suffering from many diseases. You know h...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, History, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Libertarian Musings, Health, Public and Private Goods, Death and taxes, Democracy, Employment

Hierarchy and generative orders: some introductory thoughts

This is now the whole article. Comments have been closed on the previous post . Part One To command nature, we must obey it Francis Bacon, 1624 The commitments that bind us to the social body are obligatory only because they are mutual; and their nature is such that, in fulfil...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Economics and public policy, Science, Cultural Critique, Democracy, Sortition and citizens’ juries

Has the coronavirus panic cost us at least 10 million lives already?

The number of people worldwide who have died from the coronavirus stands at 8,000 at the moment, equivalent to the death toll of two days of the world's traffic accidents. The fear is of course that millions more will follow. The panic over what the virus might do has now lead...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, History, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Health, Social, Medical, Death and taxes

The poverty of intellectual correctness – Part One: Neo-Darwinism

I wrote this essay a few years ago as part one of a two-part article that would illustrate some parallels between intellectual authoritarianism in neo-Darwinism and in neoclassical economics. In some ways my response to Paul Krugman’s response to me was Part Two. But, wanting...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science, Cultural Critique

Six tough institutional challenges this century

In 1900, the modern nation states of Europe faced many challenges in terms of how they were run, with poverty and disease still prevalent. The largest problems were more or less successfully addressed by 2000. The road involved world wars and civil wars, but the essential reci...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Environment, History, Education, Society, Religion, Economics and public policy, Science, Libertarian Musings, Climate Change, Social, Ethics, Social Policy, Democracy

How Social Science could be taught. A vision for the future.

[note to self] Economics, sociology, anthropology, history, psychology, and the other social sciences are currently taught in an unorganised manner. The undergraduate degree in any of these disciplines consists of about 20 separate courses that each differ markedly from the ot...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Education, Society, Religion, Economics and public policy, Science, Political theory, Social

The logic of the inevitable (nuclear) apocalypse. Can the Gods save us?

The probability of a massive nuclear war the next 10 years between any of the 8 current nuclear powers (US, UK, France, Russia, India, Pakistan, NK, Israel) seems low. The bluster of the leaders is supposed to make the threat look a bit bigger than it is in order to get negoti...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, Environment, History, Humour, Education, Literature, Society, Religion, IT and Internet, Terror, Science, Geeky Musings, Health, Climate Change, Ask Troppo's Love Gods, Dance, Space, Chess, Social, Ethics, Cultural Critique, Death and taxes, Democracy

A dash for the deserts? What the solar revolution could lead to.

One of the best pieces of scientific news the last decades has been the spectacular improvements in solar energy generation. The current world price was set in 2017 when the Dubai government bought a large future solar contract for 7.3 US cents per Kilowatt Hour, a mere 1/6 th...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Environment, Miscellaneous, Science, Geeky Musings, Climate Change, Business, Innovation

The Norms of Science: Extract from Paul Romer

I was looking for something on economic method, and found this section of Paul Romer's "The Trouble with Macroeconomics" which I thought was worth posting. Some of the economists who agree about the state of macro in private conversations will not say so in public. This is con...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science, Methodology

A lucky boy from a golden age of economics

When the financial crisis struck, it was back to the economics Max Corden learned in the 40s and 50s -- a golden age of economics in which conceptual simplicity was a feature not a bug and the central criterion of good work was its generality and usefulness -- rather than the...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Economics and public policy, Science

Could Obamacare have lead to lower fertility?

[just a thought] US total fertility rates were bobbing along very placidly around 2.05 live births per woman from 1990 to 2010, when suddenly there was a clear drop to 1.8 in 2010-2017. That drop has even continued to 1.76 births per woman in 2017 . When I asked myself what co...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Education, Science, Gender, Geeky Musings, Health, Medical, Social Policy, Employment

John Burnheim on theory and practice in understanding the world

In an exchange, John Burnheim sent me an email which seemed to me to be the effective condensation of a lot of good thinking. It certainly chimed with my own thoughts. So I suggested he clean it up and I'd reproduce it here, which I reproduce below. Because it is the conclusio...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science

Our countries need us.

Humanity is at a high point. What our ancestors dreamed of is slowly becoming a reality: a world without hunger in which the vast majority of mankind live peaceful and long lives. We are not there yet, but in Europe, East Asia, Latin America, and even in Africa (our cradle), m...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, History, Education, Literature, Society, Religion, Economics and public policy, Science, Political theory, Information, Ethics, Cultural Critique, Inequality, Social Policy, Democracy

Why Blockchain has no economic future.

[expanded from the post on JohnMenadue] When Bitcoin went public in 2009 it introduced to the world of finance and economics the technology of blockchain. Even the many who thought Bitcoin would never make it as a major currency were intrigued by the BlockChain technology and...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, History, IT and Internet, Science, Climate Change, Political theory, Business, Information, bubble, Innovation, Social Policy

Let’s have another World War!

Sometimes, it feels like 1910 all over again. Then, a confident Germany was the up-and-coming industrial power house, fearing an even more up-and-coming Russia, with the UK and France desperately holding on to their colonial empires. Now, a confident China is the up-and-coming...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Philosophy, Environment, History, Miscellaneous, Humour, Society, Religion, Sport-general, Theatre, Music, Economics and public policy, Science, regulation, Gender, Journalism, Media, Geeky Musings, Climate Change, Political theory, Business, Travel, Immigration and refugees, Information, Intellectual Monopoly Privileges, Innovation, Social, Race and indigenous, Ethics, Cultural Critique, Public and Private Goods, Death and taxes, Inequality, Social Policy, Democracy, Bullshit, Indigenous, Employment

Thoughts on Artificial Intelligence.

[Note to self. Geeks only] Over the fold I muse on the nature of human intelligence, social intelligence, and the options for artificial intelligence to become 'smarter than humans' in the areas of social power and law-making. It is taken for granted that you accept that in ha...

Continue reading

Posted in IT and Internet, Science, Geeky Musings, Business, bubble, Innovation, Ethics, Bullshit

Liberalising Marijuana laws doesn't seem to promote use much

The Effects of Marijuana Liberalizations: Evidence from Monitoring the Future by Angela K. Dills, Sietse Goffard, Jeffrey Miron - #23779 (HE LE PE) Abstract: By the end of 2016, 28 states had liberalized their marijuana laws: by decriminalizing possession, by legalizing for me...

Continue reading

Posted in Society, Economics and public policy, Science, regulation, Social Policy

Some Game of Thrones Season 8 speculation

Let me indulge, purely for entertainment value, in some fan-speculation on what we will see on-screen after the Long Night is over and the final 6 episodes Of Game of Thrones are run in 2019. Let me first talk about the end-game aspects I think the books and the tv-series seem...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Uncategorised, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, Print media, Environment, History, Miscellaneous, Humour, Education, Literature, Society, Religion, Films and TV, Sport-general, Theatre, Music, IT and Internet, Economics and public policy, Food, Terror, Science, Art and Architecture, regulation, Gender, Journalism, Media, Libertarian Musings, Geeky Musings, Health, Climate Change, Political theory, Metablogging, Law, Dance, Space, Review, Startup, Products, Travel, Immigration and refugees, Information, bubble, WOW! - Amazing, Social, Parenting, Race and indigenous, Ethics, Cultural Critique, Medical, Public and Private Goods, Death and taxes, Inequality, Personal, Social Policy, Democracy, Bullshit, Indigenous, Employment

Quirky cultural customs: the causes of death

Have you ever reflected on what a strange concept the notion of a 'cause of death' really is? We use the term so often that it wouldn't quickly register as a cultural oddity, but it really is a quirky beast and has an odd history. I have a bit of a professional interest in thi...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Science, Libertarian Musings, Geeky Musings, Health, Ethics, Medical, Death and taxes, Social Policy

Biased Promotions and Persistence of False Belief

Beetles: Biased Promotions and Persistence of False Belief by George Akerlof, Pascal Michaillat - #23523 (LS PR) Abstract: This paper develops a theory of promotion based on evaluations by the already promoted. The already promoted show some favoritism toward candidates for pr...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science

"We saw bad research everywhere"

Via Andrew Gelman's site , here's a TED talk by US philanthropist Laura Arnold entitled "The Four Most Dangerous Words? A New Study Shows". It details her journey through the world of social, medical, psychological and other research. It's a lively and concise summary of the d...

Continue reading

Posted in Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Best From Elsewhere

From the Department of “Why didn't I think of that": A natty idea to encourage scientific replication

An Economic Approach to Alleviate the Crises of Confidence in Science: With an Application to the Public Goods Game by Luigi Butera, John A. List - #23335 (PE) Novel empirical insights by their very nature tend to be unanticipated, and in some cases at odds with the current st...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Economics and public policy, Science

Adverse Action Lawyer wanted in Frijters versus UQ case

I am seeking a lawyer to run an Adverse Action case connected to the recent Fair Work Commission verdict that found systematic breaches of procedures and procedural fairness in the University of Queensland's actions against me following my research on racial attitudes in Brisb...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Economics and public policy, Science, Journalism, Media, Blegs, Law, Competitions, Race and indigenous, Ethics, Cultural Critique, Inequality, Personal, Social Policy

Papers that don't crank out the same old schtick are high risk for academics: SHOCK!

Academic publishing keeps you on the straight and narrow of everyone else's ideas? Who'da thunk? Bias against Novelty in Science: A Cautionary Tale for Users of Bibliometric Indicators by Jian Wang, Reinhilde Veugelers, Paula Stephan - #22180 (LS PR) Abstract: Research which e...

Continue reading

Posted in Education, Science

Concept Split: Shockwaves!!!

If Rex can give us his guide to Gravitational Waves - a very impressive performance I have to say, then I can dust off an old document from my days at the ANU law school - in the late 1980s. Concept Split: Shockwaves Shock waves spread from the policy making community through...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Humour, Science, Health, Space

Old farts (clever old farts) holding up scientific progress: Shock!!

Does Science Advance One Funeral at a Time? by Pierre Azoulay, Christian Fons-Rosen, Joshua S. Graff Zivin Abstract: We study the extent to which eminent scientists shape the vitality of their fields by examining entry rates into the fields of 452 academic life scientists who...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science

Surprises of the Internet

With the Internet being a regular feature of our lives for about 20 years now, what have been the related developments that were hard to pick at the outset? What are the lessons? Five thoughts: Communication and personal expression is the main business of the Internet. That wa...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, History, Miscellaneous, IT and Internet, Economics and public policy, Science, Libertarian Musings, Geeky Musings, Political theory, Business, Information, Innovation, Best From Elsewhere, Cultural Critique, Public and Private Goods

STEM, Part culture war, part cargo cult: My latest Fin column

Here's yesterday's op ed for the Fin published as Technology education is about more than funding : STEM is all the rage in education – that’s Science, Technology, Engineering and Maths. Part culture war against Australian mediocrity, part cargo cult, a principal goal is more...

Continue reading

Posted in Education, Economics and public policy, Science, Innovation, Cultural Critique

Where are we with Geo-Engineering in 2014?

Geo-engineering is increasingly looking like the only politically viable way of averting temperature rises above 2 degrees in the coming century. This is for three interlocking reasons: i) Any mayor country can try geo-engineering on its own without permission from anyone else...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Politics - international, Life, Environment, History, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Climate Change, Ethics, Cultural Critique

The Rocket Equation's never-ending tyranny

[caption id="attachment_26366" align="alignright" width="584"] A Soyuz spacecraft docking with the International Space Station. As the picture makes plain, typical human-occupied spacecraft orbits are very close to Earth; SpaceShipTwo wouldn't get even this high. NASA photo.[/...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Space

Predictions versus outcomes in 2013?

In the last 5 years, I have made a point of giving clear predictions on complex socio-economic issues. I give predictions partially to improve my own understanding of humanity: nothing sharpens the thoughts as much as having to actually predict something. Another reason is as...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, History, Miscellaneous, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, regulation, Geeky Musings, Climate Change, Competitions

The Forgotten Protocols

The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer came back into the news on Monday (11 November), with reports [i] on a paper published in Nature Geoscience which finds that reductions in chlorinated fluorocarbon (CFC) emissions achieved under the Montreal Prot...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Environment, Science, Climate Change

'The mind . . . in itself can make a heaven of hell, a hell of heaven'

Remarkable article about how our social experience and the way we come to frame our lives influences gene-expression. I would’ve bet my eyeteeth that we’d get a lot of noisy results that are inconsistent from one realm to another. And at the level of individual genes that’s ki...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Idiots, Imbeciles, Morons - and Brain Farts

Paul Fritjers is lamenting the loss of intellectual freedom and freedom of expression produced by an odd rule of social interaction: the person in pain gets to own the truth and those without pain adjust. So for example, people with undesired traits such as low intelligence or...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Science

Guest Post by Mike Pepperday: Doing social science like natural science

On a previous thread, my counter-intuitive claim that verbal definitions are superfluous to science survived objections. I have been wondering if some further unconventional notions would survive a Troppodile attack. Because natural science is effective, I suggested that we sh...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Philosophy, Society, Science

PM's science prize: nominations open

As I've said before, the PM's Science Prize is a blast . And they're now taking nominations . So if you have or had a great science teacher, or know or are a great Australian scientist. Now's the time to nominate.

Continue reading

Posted in Science

This week's column: the corruption of our intellectual culture

ASIDE from war, corruption is probably the biggest obstacle to economic and social development in poor countries. But it's best we see ourselves as being on a continuum with them, rather than as having solved the problem. Even if no law was broken, Wall Street financiers impos...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science, Health

The water you drink has been piss at least 10 times already!

Last Thursday I posed the question of how often the water you drink has been pissed by a vertebrate already. If the number is very small, then those who baulk at drinking recycled water have more cause to complain than if the number is very high. As some commentators to that p...

Continue reading

Posted in Environment, Economics and public policy, Science, Geeky Musings

The Half-Life of Facts

"The Half-Life of Facts: Why Everything We Know Has an Expiration Date" was released a last week. It's dedicated to the idea that knowledge not only changes, but changes in a systematic way. From the blurb: Just as we know that a chunk of uranium can break down in a measurable...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Information

Thoughts on “Thinking, fast and slow”

I couldn’t resist buying a copy of Daniel Kahneman’s best-seller when returning from holidays. Several friends and colleagues told me it was a great book; it got great reviews; and Kahneman’s journal articles are invariably a good read, so I was curious. Its general message is...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Philosophy, Education, Literature, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Geeky Musings, Methodology, Information, Social

Fragmentary thoughts

Why hasn't (Darwinian) evolution evolved the building blocks of Lamarkian evolution? Well it has once - with us - but why hasn't it done so at the biological rather than the cultural level? Perhaps smuggled into Lamarkianism is the idea of telos, which can exist within conscio...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, Science

Holy Levitating Slinky

http://youtu.be/uiyMuHuCFo4 HT Brad Delong

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Passing round the hat

Here's a great picture of the sub-assemblies of the Boeing 787 (Dreamliner - ok it's a silly name, but it's somehow fun to say). Its touted by Deloitte as an example of how disaggregated industries are. But looking at it I wondered, might it tell us something else. What (the h...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science, Space, Travel

The spooky facts about the sun and moon

Here's a picture of the moon and the sun juxtaposed. They cycle between being the same size in our heavens and being a bit bigger or smaller than each other. It's spooky. Just the right size to deliver a total eclipse, or an annular one, depending on how they are feeling at th...

Continue reading

Posted in Religion, Science

PM's Science Prize: Nobel Prize preferred but not necessary

A highlight of my calendar I have to say - since I inadvertently morphed into Mr Innovation and they started inviting me. Did you have an absolutely fantastic science teacher? Now's the time to get them some recognition. NOMINATION CALL 2012 PRIME MINISTER’S PRIZES FOR SCIENCE...

Continue reading

Posted in Education, Science

Games

Human beings only play when they are in the full sense of the word human and they are only fully human when they play. Friedrich Shiller Games seem frivolous. They can stand as metaphors for life, but typically, the outcome of games doesn't really matter. I wanted Collingwood...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Philosophy, Science, Web and Government 2.0

Kaggle brilliantly explained on Catalyst

Well the ABC God bless its cotton socks can't quite bring itself to mount videos that can be embedded elsewhere - or I can't see a way to do it, but they did a great story on Kaggle tonight - so I thought I'd post it here. Just click here and all will be revealed. Update: some...

Continue reading

Posted in Education, IT and Internet, Science, Interesting Graphs, Geeky Musings, Web and Government 2.0

Expertise and the range of validity

As Philip Tetlock so powerfully showed, most expertise isn't worth nix if the criterion of expertise is whether you can demonstrate superior predictions about what will happen in the future. As he showed, most experts can't predict any better than tolerably informed non-expert...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science

The Government's proposed new R&D Tax Credit

Herewith my column for Today's Fin on the Government's proposed new R&D Tax Credit. The paper on which it is based is on the Lateral Economics Website . The politics of compromise can work to solve problems by taking everyone’s needs into account. But sometimes we just get cau...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Economics and public policy, Science

Adam Smith, Galileo and the rise of science

[caption id="" align="alignright" width="498" caption="And what is this fetching picture doing here? Ask Google Images which popped this up when I entered the search string "the rise of science""] [/caption] In discussing 'open science' with someone today I thought I'd be able...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Economics and public policy, Science

Multitasking: Productivity Effects and Gender Differences

We examine how multitasking affects performance and check whether women are indeed better at multitasking. Subjects in our experiment perform two different tasks according to three treatments: one where they perform the tasks sequentially, one where they are forced to multitas...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Gender, Health

Awesome

Well it's an overused word right now but have a look at this if you've not seen it before - it's lovely. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kkGeOWYOFoA

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Science

Nuclear madness in Idaho

When the SL-1 nuclear reactor exploded in Idaho releasing a radioactive plume and killing three workers, a local paper reported the accident on page 12 . That was 1961. Today some residents of Idaho are so worried about the nuclear accident 8000 kilometers away that they're bu...

Continue reading

Posted in Society, Science

Seeking alternatives to nuclear and fossil fuels

The latest situation with damaged Japanese nuclear power plants seems if anything more potentially dire and apocalyptic than what prompted my comment on Don Arthur's post : Seems to me that whatever now happens the nuclear power option is almost certainly a dead duck in all we...

Continue reading

Posted in Environment, Science, Climate Change

Background on Japan's stricken nuclear reactor -- Fukushima Daiichi No 1

According to recent media reports an explosion has blown the roof off an unstable reactor north of Tokyo. The reactor is Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power station's unit no 1. World Nuclear News reports : Television cameras trained on the plant captured a dramatic explosion surr...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Unpacking the Yasi hype

* Below is a guest post written by Ken G, a long-time Darwin resident and media/IT professional. Ken discussed his ideas not only with Darwin "storm chaser" enthusiasts but with Darwin residents who went through Cyclone Tracy. It's a keen amateur perspective on a frightening w...

Continue reading

Posted in Environment, Science

National Broadband Network under the microscope

I'm seriously conflicted by the debate over Labor's National Broadband Network. On one hand, the future of CDU's online Bachelor of Laws programs, whose creation and development I oversee, is heavily dependent on the availability of almost universal truly fast broadband within...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, IT and Internet, Science

Sydney Uni book fair

Saturday 11 to Wed 15, 10 am to 5 in the Great Hall . My treasures: all in practically "as new" condition. Peter Medawar, Pluto's Republic (not a missprint). $3. Review . The editor of the Age Monthly Review would not let me write that the cover photo depicted Medwar demonstra...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Education, Society, Economics and public policy, Science, Geeky Musings, Political theory

Sunset on the moon

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Science

Update on Popper

Popper is often perceived as an eccentric kind of positivist who adopted a slightly different take on the demarcation of science with the criterion of falsification in place of verification. People like Habermas and the late Richard Rorty regarded Popper as a positivist for al...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Philosophy, Science

Battle at Kruger Park

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LU8DDYz68kM No doubt some have already seen this vid. I only just discovered it. Pretty gripping I think you'll agree.

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Easter Island and the eclipse

HT Michael Neilsen Tweet via one of my favourite websites .

Continue reading

Posted in Science

A General Theory of History – A bleg

Doctor Labyrinth, like most people who read a great deal and who have too much time on their hands, had become convinced that our civilization was going the way of Rome. He saw, I think , the same cracks forming that had sundered the ancient world, the world of Greece and Rome...

Continue reading

Posted in History, Economics and public policy, Science, Geeky Musings, Political theory

From the beginning

By Maggie Koerth-Baker . HT: Peter Martin

Continue reading

Posted in Life, History, Science

What is this heavenly object?

Hint - it's not a comet!

Continue reading

Posted in Science

The Adventure of Science

This book sounds like a lot of fun. A history of science with a touch of humour and a good flavour of the characters involved. Reviewed here . In order to structure his big, sweeping book about such issues, Mr. Holmes uses two exploratory voyages as bookends. The first, a trip...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorised, History, Science

Ho Hum: another momentus event . . .

[caption id="attachment_30918" align="alignright" width="580" caption="Artist concept of Kepler in space. Credit: NASA/JPL"] [/caption] From Universe Today The checkout and calibration phase for the Kepler spacecraft has been completed, and now the telescope will begin one of...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Around (some of) the blogs

Tim Blair reports on Yvonne Ridley the British journalist who converted to Islam after being kidnapped by the Taliban who has won a case for unfair dismissal against the Islam News Channel. Earlier in the year she won nearly £14,000 in damages after winning a four-year unfair...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - international, Environment, Education, Economics and public policy, Science, Journalism, Geeky Musings

Arresting pictures

Architecture of the Heart No's 1, 2 and 3. For more follow this link.

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Art and Architecture

Some seasons greetings from Mandelbrot and Taleb

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Art and Architecture

We're gaining a leap second - it's true

Read all about it here , or over the fold. The US Naval Observatory operates 70 cesium atomic clocks. Credit: USNO If you ever feel like you need more time, here's some great news: you're actually going to get it. On December 31, 2008 a leap second will be added to the worlds...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

A sight to behold

For more detail click here .

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Scientists and other paragons of 'intrinsic motivation' - take a bow!

Last week I was privileged enough to go to the PM's Science Awards in Parliament House. Kevin was, as usual enjoying his place in the centre of the stage, and gave a good speech which impressed his audience. But the highlight was the scientists. Just five got awards - two were...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, regulation

Promoting Critical Thinking in Schools

The Australian Skeptics Prize for Critical Thinking has been won this year by Peter Ellerton, a Queensland teacher who established a network promoting critical thinking in schools. The prize is worth $10,000. For a decade up to 2006 it was awarded as a part of the Australian M...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorised, Philosophy, Education, Science

Australian science and scientists

A companion site to the 200 years of Australian technology, " Bright Sparcs ", hosted by the University of Melbourne. A register of people involved in the development of science, technology, engineering and medicine in Australia, including references to their archival material...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

200 years of technology

The recent post on architectural delights reminded me that during the Beaconsfield mining disaster I googled Beaconsfield and turned up some pictures of the Batman Bridge nearby. That led to some more pictures of Tasmanian bridges and one of them led to some other bridges in V...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorised, Environment, History, Science, Art and Architecture

Beyond the Tropposphere

From Universe Today , here's the Wednesday quiz. It's time for another "Where In The Universe" (WITU) challenge to test your visual knowledge of the cosmos. This one might be relatively easy, but I'm feeling generous today. Guess what this image is, and give yourself extra poi...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

The missing chapter of The Wisdom of Crowds

If you loved The Wisdom of Crowds , easily the best economic bestseller I've read since The Theory of Moral Sentiments and that was published in 1759, you'll lerve this post by Michael Nielsen. Michael himself is quite an achiever. A graduate of the Uni of Queensland, he's not...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Spooky arguments for the existence God # 1

Well no doubt others have posted this around the traps, but Tim Watts posted this truly spooky argument for the existence of God. You might think the arguments are obvious, but that's always the case once things are pointed out.

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Warming - Beyond the greenhouse . . .

From the 'being grateful for small mercies department, and from this website , here is extrasolar planet HD 209458b (also unofficially known as "Osiris", which orbits a star in the constellation of Pegasus) revealed the strongest ever spectroscopic signature for a giant extras...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Space

ShyHooks

Verily this is a cool new development. Boeing is building super airships to double the capacity that can be airlifted around the world. These babys will be the size of football fields (not ours but America's) and fitted with four helicopter rotors and able to drag 40 tons of s...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Space

Asteroids: a nasty business . . .

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Space

Some notes on public goods

I was going on about the renewed importance of public goods to the Review Panel on the Innovation System and so they asked me and another economists on the panel to do a bit of a write up for them. For various logistical reasons, the ultimate document was run up by me the nigh...

Continue reading

Posted in IT and Internet, Economics and public policy, Science, Media

$100 bills on the pavement - and in the hospital

In writing this article , it occured to me that one way to describe my own approach to economics is the search for the $100 bill on the pavement. That is, if you can find ways of bringing new ideas into some well developed framework (well new-ish ideas or just ideas that are c...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Economics and public policy, Science, Health

Craig Venter: Troppo links - you decide

A fascinating review of Craig Venter's autobiography . Naturally I'm sympathetic to this guy who looks like he values scientific creativity and achievement above other things, and will improvise through the miasma of institutions that exist to further science to get what he's...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Literature, IT and Internet, Science, Health

Venus and mercury align with the moon over Narrabri

Meanwhile, an avalanche on Mars, the first extra-terrestrial avalanche observed by humangoes. And just to remind you of your place in the world, here's a bit of a galaxy - which appropriately enough is part of one of your standard galaxy clusters. It's 50,000 light years acros...

Continue reading

Posted in Science, Art and Architecture

The 2020 summit who should go?

I've just been asked by the Department of PM&C to nominate someone to go to the 202o Summit. Who should I nominate - and why? This post will be moderated strictly. Suggestions should be serious and I hope you'll provide good reasons. Of course there will be people who want to...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Life, Philosophy, Environment, History, Education, Society, Religion, Economics and public policy, Science, Gender, Journalism, Health, Climate Change, Political theory, Law

Are conservatives more morally balanced?

Only marginally related to the post, but a great image just the same - from turtblu on Flickr Readers with prodigious memories may recall a post I wrote a couple of years ago about the work of psychologist Jonathan Haidt on the cognitive basis for human morality. Haidt has dev...

Continue reading

Posted in Philosophy, Science, Political theory

Feeling small?

There are 100,000 times as many stars in the universe as sounds and words ever uttered by all humans who have ever lived. This is the tenth of ten big facts about the universe. See how many you know here .

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Ex-street urchin wins Nobel Prize

Strange but true - in case you haven't heard, the world is full of amazing people with amazing stories who do amazing things . Perhaps this is a portent that the hideous catastrophes of the twentieth century are behind us. Well - obviously they're behind us. What I mean is, he...

Continue reading

Posted in Life, Science

Mobiles and car crashes: if there's a link why don't crashes go up when phone usage does?

I'd like to know what's wrong with all the studies using different methodologies that find a link. Intuitively I find that using a hand held in a car is distracting at least when I'm dialling. It's all in the paper from the looks of it, but I won't get round to reading it and...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science

Get out the tissues

From a back-issue of the ABC Law Report . A patient at UCLA's School of Medicine named John Moore, went in and was diagnosed as having hairy cell leukaemia. His treatment was to have the spleen removed, but before the doctors did that, they did blood tests and found he had a v...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

The history of the world and it's likely future - in 713 words

This is the best op ed length informative article I've ever read. It's 713 words. It's by Freeman Dyson and every sentence is worth a book, every paragraph worth a sub-discipline. It explains how Darwinian evolution was (yes - 'was') a special period of the earth's history pre...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Stern versus Tol on climate change

the BBC website alerted me today to the linked paper by my ex - Free University colleague Richard Tol, who is still an environmental economist but has become somewhat famous since. The paper and the i nterview makes fascinating and sobering reading. Let me give you some highli...

Continue reading

Posted in Economics and public policy, Science

Four Wheel MLP

Holden reports a 120 million loss . Ouch: Despite the Commodore maintaining its position as the number one selling vehicle down under in 2006, total revenues were down 7.8% over the period, which meant that Holden ended up with a substantial $123.7 million loss. That is about...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

Could publishing perish?

This post follows on from a discussion begun by Paul Fritjers and continued HERE . Most human activity has changed drastically over our lifetimes. And the rate of change is increasing see for instance the next generations user interface for computers. You would hope academics...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorised, Science, Media

Ideas on reforming academic journals.

What would you do with an academic economic journal if you were given control over it? What innovations would you enforce designed to make the journal more to your liking? Below I list some ideas talked about in the corridors of academia and ask you to give your opinion on the...

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorised, Economics and public policy, Science

Feels Like Pain

Does relative poverty matter? If differences in income just mean that some people have bigger, shinier barbeques then probably not. Big shiny propane guzzling barbeques are nice but, as Clive Hamilton says , living without one doesn't amount to hardship. To many people it seem...

Continue reading

Posted in Politics - national, Economics and public policy, Science

The engaging Melvin Bragg

As I've mentioned to Troppodillians previously , Melvin Brag has an interesting show on BBC radio called 'In our time'. It's a kind of amateur hour with a professional broadcaster. He (usually) interviews three 'experts' about something that he's interested in but ignorant abo...

Continue reading

Posted in Science

The miracle of Cassini

Courtesy of Joe Cambria who observes - quite rightly - that I seem to like this kind of thing .

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorised, Science

Cambria on greenhouse reduction strategies

Ubiquitous blogosphere commenter Joe Cambria has posted a really interesting contribution on Rex Ringschott's coal thread , suggesting a variey of greenhouse gas reduction policies as an alternative to either carbon taxes or tradeable emissions permits. Joe's ideas deserve a t...

Continue reading

Posted in Environment, Science

Worms do the darndest things

The Sydney Morning Herald has an odd story about a woman with a worm in her eye . Doctors at a clinic in Kragujevac, central Serbia, have removed an 11 centimetre-long intestinal worm from a woman's eye socket. According to preliminary results, the worm taken from the 37-year-...

Continue reading

Posted in Science