Monthly Archives: 2012-03

34 published posts from 2012-03.

Fancy dinner with a flashmob in Sydney - tomorrow night?

Someone who emailed me saying he was coming to my presentation at Sydney Uni tomorrow night suggested we catch up for dinner. Which I'll be doing. Then I suggested to him that I'd invite anyone who was at the presentation who wanted to come along to come along. Not sure how th...

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Posted in Social

Kantian Optimisation

No time to read the paper right now, but it looks great. Kantian Optimization, Social Ethos, and Pareto Efficiency Date: 2012-03 By: John E. Roemer (Dept. of Political Science, Yale University) Although evidence accrues in biology, anthropology and experimental economics that...

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Posted in Philosophy, Religion, Economics and public policy, Political theory

Gov 2 presentation at Sydney Uni this Thursday at 3.00 pm

Last year I did a presentation on Government 2.0 to Masters Government Students at Sydney Uni and it was lots of fun. So they invited me back. I suggested that this time we do it using the web properly, so I'll do a presentation but it will be filmed so that it can be hoisted...

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Posted in Economics and public policy

Steve Jobs, climate quackery and democracy

If you discovered that you had cancer would you (a) find a doctor who is an expert in treating your disease and follow their advice, or (b) attempt to devise your own treatment by reading about cancer on the internet? According to some sources, Apple founder Steve Jobs may hav...

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Posted in Politics - national, Health, Climate Change

Melbourne and the body politic

A Club Troppo Research Project In the Melbourne telephone directory, there are: 89 Head(s) 5 Neck(s) 13 Body(s) 1 Shoulder 14 Arms 69 Hand(s) 35 Finger(s) 52 Legg(s) 27 Foot(s) 1 Feet 6 Toe(s) 2 Heart(s) - A Time Lord? 22 Lung(s) 13 Kidney(s) No Stomach 1 Bowels No Penis, but...

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Posted in Uncategorized

Krugman comes down as a Kuhnian

Responding to Noah Smith , Krugman says the following about the long term effects of the "Macro Wars" . On the academic side: look, to a first approximation nobody ever admits being wrong about anything. But my sense is that a lot of younger economists are aware, even if they...

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Posted in Uncategorized

Salience, Risky Choices and Gender

Risk theories typically assume individuals make risky choices using probability weights that differ from objective probabilities. Recent theories suggest that probability weights vary depending on which portion of a risky environment is made salient. Using experimental data we...

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Posted in Uncategorized

Lawyers, guns, money, chess and evidence (but with no guns and not much money).

Lawyers like their evidence to be nice and straightforward. Not to statistical. This is a real problem in some negligence cases. A surgeon might be a good surgeon, might have well below average adverse events, but if something screws up, doctrines like res ipsa loquitur - " th...

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Posted in Economics and public policy, Law

Missing Link Friday - Innovation, conservatism, web 2.0 etc

Why don’t women patent? "In Why Don’t Women Patent? , a recent NBER paper, Jennifer Hunt et al. present a stark fact: Only 5.5% of the holders of commercialized patents are women." Alex Tabarrok, Marginal Revolution . Innovation and inequality: What effect do now products and...

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Posted in Missing Link

Economic Growth v/s distribution

In the USA (a presidential election year), there is a considerable debate on how much emphasis government policy should assign to economic growth (properly interpreted to encompass all externalities and market failures) and how much to income and welfare distribution. The argu...

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Posted in Uncategorized

Computer nudges: not always a big success

I tend to avoid business class even when entitled to it except for overnight flights, but being entitled to business class travel on a government board the computer always requires me to explain myself. And though it has an option where you can say that you're entitled to fly...

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Posted in Humour, Economics and public policy, Bargains

It's a long way to the top - scale a cliff face under fire and take out seven machine guns on your own and another three with your platoon and then fight in Tobruk. After you make corporal, knock out three machine gun posts, two tanks and take 100 people prisoner and - after a few more battles they make you a lieutenant. Then get killed in battle.

[caption id="" align="alignright" width="220" caption="Tom Derrick - a good man to have on your side"] [/caption] I happened upon this on the front page of today's Wikipedia. Tom Derrick (1914–1945) was an Australian recipient of the Victoria Cross (VC) during the Second World...

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Posted in History

UK Minister admits the government may waste £500,000 shock!

A a recent function I had the privilege to listen to David Halpern who heads up the 'Nudge unit' in the UK Cabinet Office. The "Applying Behavioural Insights" unit led by the aforementioned Halpern seeks to apply the insights of behavioural economics/psychology to public polic...

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Posted in Economics and public policy

What's Clive Palmer on about?

Even Andrew Bolt is shocked . On Tuesday mining magnate Clive Palmer fronted the media and announced that the US Central Intelligence Agency is using the Rockefeller Foundation to fund a campaign to undermine Australia's coal industry. Palmer appeared in front of the cameras b...

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Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international

Snaffle yourself a quick Lin Onus while they're going cheap

This lovely painting goes on sale this Thursday night at Menzies Auctioneers . An artist friend of mine isn't too impressed with Lin Onus, but then I think his work is lovely. So there. This painting will go for an estimated $150-200,000 plus buyers' fee plus GST, which is one...

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Posted in Art and Architecture

Had enough of Koch vs Cato?

When the Koch vs Cato controversy erupted blogger Skip Oliva was all over it . Now he's just over it : When you cut through all the bullshit—90% of which is coming from the Cato side—what you’re left with is two old men who simply refuse to compromise. Charles Koch signed an a...

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Posted in Politics - international

Vote for me, I know nothing and hate the same things you do

This immortal line - the key to the Republican nomination (With Mitt Romney having to play along to try to win the nomination) is from a column by Richard Cohen. It captures the spirit of the times, which I have said before is like the Soviet invasion of Hungary and Czechoslov...

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Posted in Economics and public policy

Herding: Part One

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1nHNtZ148I A few weeks ago I attended the latest F.H. Gruen lecture at ANU by the terrific English economist Andrew Oswald.* He's one of those economists who, in addition to being formidable in his (many) fields within the profession, is also a...

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Posted in Philosophy, Economics and public policy, Political theory

Social exclusion and The Other America

According to most commentators, it was French politician René Lenoir who coined the term 'social exclusion' (l’exclusion sociale). But the idea that there is a disparate group of disadvantaged citizens who are excluded from economic, social and political participation is nothi...

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Posted in Politics - international, Society

Overfishing: Last installment

Herewith Bob McDonald's third instalment. As readers will note, I published the first instalment saying that at a superficial level Bob's argument seemed interesting and indeed persuasive. Since then people who've taken a closer interest in the debate and the issues have been...

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Posted in Economics and public policy

Missing Link Friday - Sinclair Davidson vs Malcolm Turnbull

A commodities boom can temporarily boost government revenue, says Malcolm Turnbull . Mostly that's a good thing. But when governments respond by making non-temporary changes to the budget, we have a problem: If, rolling in a big cyclical surplus, a government were to cut incom...

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Posted in Missing Link

Revisiting Australian Fisheries Economics Part 2

Herewith Bob McDonald's second post on fisheries economics. With Australia being the last 'settled' continent, the flattest and driest and without reliable streamflow from snow melt it is not outrageous to suggest its fisheries are unique. Until WW2 Australian commercial fish...

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Posted in Environment, Economics and public policy

Good economic decisions the next government should take.

We are in the middle of the electoral cycle, which seems a good time to give advice on which policies make good economics in the sense of being in the interest of the long-run welfare of Australia. My top 5 of do-able economic policies, some big and some small, that a governme...

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Posted in Uncategorized

Guest post on fishing the common pool resources of Australia's fisheries

On a Background Briefing program on micro-targeting of political campaigning and advertising, I was being pressed by the interviewer. If people hate negative ads, if they degrade the reputation of politicians, why do they do it? I likened it to over-fishing where each fisher p...

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Posted in Environment, Economics and public policy

Secrecy by default: How 'performing government' is trumping transparency

A few months ago, Sam Roggeveen from the Lowy Institute asked me to talk at a function the Institute was holding on secrecy. I said I wasn't particularly well qualified to talk directly on secrecy regarding national security and foreign affairs, but I was happy to speak about...

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Posted in Politics - national, Politics - international, Economics and public policy, Political theory, Web and Government 2.0

Libertarians vs the Kochtopus

A lawsuit by the Koch brothers threatens the Cato Institute's reputation for independence When scholars at the libertarian Cato Institute came out against the Gulf War, Olin Foundation president William E Simon was outraged. The foundation ended up withdrawing its support and,...

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Posted in Politics - international

Missing Link Friday - KONY 2012

The Lord's Resistance Army and its leader Joseph Kony have been in the news for years (here's a 2006 story from the ABC's Foreign Correspondent ). But this week the issue went viral thanks to a video by advocacy group Invisible Children . With help from celebrities like Rihann...

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Posted in Missing Link

Jokes that get better with age

Many years ago my father used to respond to some of my wilder claims or flights of fancy by asking "if you're so smart how come you're not rich?" This amused him but I didn't find it very funny - and not just because it deflated my pretentions. I appreciate it more and more wi...

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Posted in Humour

Finkelstein media report's four fatal flaws

"Make the media more accountable for their sins, and worry less about new technologies and freedom of speech". That's a one-line summary of Ray Finkelstein's Independent Media Inquiry . It argues for a new system of media regulation to apply to journalists, commentators and mo...

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Posted in Print media, regulation, Media

(Almost) Everyone loves Lincoln

Inaugurated on this day in 1861 , Abraham Lincoln, the 16th President of the United States, is as popular as ever. Movies: America's 16th president features in two movies to be released this year. The first is a serious bio-pic by Steven Spielberg while the second is based on...

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Posted in Politics - international

Missing Link Friday - The crisis of social democracy

A failure in the realm of ideas: It's crisis as usual for the left. Despite the global financial crisis, left of centre parties are struggling in the polls. Francis Fukuyama puts it down to a "a failure in the realm of ideas" arguing that: "The left has not been able to make a...

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Posted in Missing Link

Our Future (Together)

A voice of reason from way out West speaks clear unvarnished truth. That the minerals Mother Nature once laid down in her youth, are the hope of teeming millions seeking sanctuary and jobs. Free Enterprise the means by which we’ll fill their starving gobs. We hear the message...

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Posted in Uncategorized

The UK catches US bird flu: nasty business

Well not bird flu actually, but decoupling of median incomes and productivity growth. About as nasty an economic development as one could imagine. FROM THE OECD INSIGHTS BLOG Do workers reap the benefits of productivity growth? In the last twenty years of the 20th century, eac...

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Posted in Economics and public policy

Davy Jones: RIP

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8urgvC0TR8&feature=related

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Posted in History, Music