I’ve long been puzzled why Michelle Grattan is seen as an eminence grise of the Parliamentary Press Gallery. Unlike her corpulent male counterpart Laurie Oakes, who still occasionally produces major scoops and penetrating political analyses, I can’t remember the last time Grattan produced anything other than bland, predictable group-think. Her latest piece on yesterday’s High Court interlocutory injunction restraining implementation of the Gillard government’s Malaysia Solution until a full hearing in a couple of weeks is a case in point.
Grattan begins with a perfectly reasonable observation:
The High Court has agreed the case against it should be heard – but it has not pronounced on the issues.
But she then instantly segues without even a semblance of analysis into regurgitating the current Press Gallery spin on anything the Gillard government does:
It’s a shambles. When, with the Commonwealth Solicitor-General floundering over his paperwork yesterday, Justice Hayne said that it was ”unsatisfactory that this matter proceed in this half-baked manner”, he could have been summing up the Gillard asylum seeker policy.
What does Grattan mean by this? That Hayne J was somehow passing judgment on the Gillard government’s competence? In fact his remark is the sort of theatrical “grumpy judge” schtick that judges inflict on counsel on a daily basis in our courts, as any experienced journalist well knows.
That the mere fact that refugee advocates have launched a High Court challenge of itself somehow proves that the government’s Malaysia Solution is a “shambles”? In fact, just about every policy initiative relating to asylum seekers over the last 20 years, under the Hawke, Keating, Howard, Rudd and now Gillard governments has been challenged through the courts. You wouldn’t expect anything else. These are desperate people with little to lose and everything to gain from a successful challenge, and with refugee advocates ever willing to provide free representation. Some challenges succeed but most lose. This latest challenge will probably fail, although it isn’t completely hopeless (as I discuss below).
Is Grattan instead suggesting that the government should be taking some other policy approach? If so, what might it be? Abandoning mandatory detention of asylum seekers and adopting an open door policy, as most refugee advocates seem to assert? That might make sense in an abstract policy sense, but in the real world it would be a recipe for certain political suicide. Reverting to the Howard government’s Pacific Solution, as Tony Abbott mindlessly repeats as the sure-fire solution to “stop the boats”? In fact, as I’ve pointed out previously, the Pacific Solution has had its day. The people smugglers and their clientele now know very well that Australia ultimately had (and will have in the future if the policy is reinstated) no practical choice but to grant protection visas to most of the genuine asylum seekers sent to Nauru.
Moreover, the judicial review grounds now being advanced against Gillard’s Malaysia Solution will, if successful, almost certainly invalidate any attempt at revival of the Nauru Pacific Solution as well. This is a point that doesn’t seem so far to have dawned on any of our Press Gallery luminaries (although a commenter to Grattan’s article pointed it out). Exactly like Howard’s Pacific Solution, the legislative basis for the Malaysia Solution lies in the “safe third country” provisions found in s 198A of the Migration Act 1958 (Cth).
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